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Este vs Chions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Moreo R.
65' Event
Menato A.
85' Event
Rosso D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 game between Este and Chions finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Este.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Este
15%
Draws
49%
Chions
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Este come out ahead of Chions on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Este taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Este Clean Sheet 20%
Chions Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Este Chions
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Chions
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Chions vs Este
1:1
Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Chions vs Este
1:1
Sep 10, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Chions
1:1
May 30, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Chions vs Este
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Este Compare

Top Goalscorer Menato A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rosso D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Chions Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Este 42 / 100
Chions 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Este Chions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chions let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Este scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Chions's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Este VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Este

(Home)
20 Sept
Este
1 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
16 Sept
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
13 Sept
Este
0 : 1
FC Obermais
06 Sept
Brian Lignano
0 : 2
Este
17 May
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
Page 1 of 6

Chions

(Away)
04 May
Chions
2 : 1
Calvi Noale
27 Apr
Brusaporto
3 : 2
Chions
17 Apr
Chions
1 : 2
Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
3 : 1
Chions
06 Apr
Chions
1 : 1
Treviso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)