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Este vs Conegliano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Cogo G.
61' Event
Fagan F.
90' Event
Boix J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C game between Este and Conegliano finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Este.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Este
20%
Draws
51%
Conegliano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Conegliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Conegliano come out ahead of Este on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Este Clean Sheet 29%
Conegliano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Este Conegliano
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.81 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Conegliano
2:1
Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Conegliano vs Este
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Conegliano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Este Compare

Top Goalscorer Cogo G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boix J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Conegliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Fagan F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Este 38 / 100
Conegliano 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Este Conegliano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conegliano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Este found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Conegliano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Este stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Este VS Conegliano
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Este

(Home)
07 Oct
Este
0 : 2
Caldiero Terme
04 Oct
Este
2 : 1
Conegliano
27 Sept
Calcio San Dona
0 : 0
Este
20 Sept
Este
1 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
16 Sept
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
Page 1 of 7

Conegliano

(Away)
04 Oct
Este
2 : 1
Conegliano
27 Sept
Conegliano
0 : 1
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
20 Sept
Conegliano
1 : 0
FC Obermais
16 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
0 : 1
Conegliano
13 Sept
Conegliano
0 : 0
Bassano Virtus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cjarlins Muzane 6 5 0 1 17:5 15
2 Luparense FC 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
3 Calcio San Dona 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
4 Mestre 6 2 4 0 9:6 10
5 Campodarsego 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Clodiense 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
7 Bassano Virtus 6 2 3 1 6:3 9
8 Calvi Noale 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Lavarian Mortean Esperia 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
10 Este 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
11 Legnago Salus 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 Conegliano 6 2 1 3 3:7 7
13 Altavilla 6 1 3 2 14:9 6
14 Triestina 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
15 Virtus Bolzano 6 2 0 4 5:18 6
16 FC Obermais 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
17 Schio 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
18 Brian Lignano 6 1 0 5 7:14 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)