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Este vs FC Obermais - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Ghiotti E.

AI Match Summary

FC Obermais in this Serie D - Group C matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Obermais.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Este
30%
Draws
39%
FC Obermais
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Obermais

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Este have won more games recently than FC Obermais.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Este here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Este Clean Sheet 68%
FC Obermais Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Este FC Obermais
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.82 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Este vs FC Obermais
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group C
FC Obermais vs Este
1:3
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Este vs FC Obermais
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Este Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

FC Obermais Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghiotti E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Este 41 / 100
FC Obermais 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Este FC Obermais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Este Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Obermais let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Este's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Este went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Este VS FC Obermais
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Este

(Home)
07 Oct
Este
0 : 2
Caldiero Terme
04 Oct
Este
2 : 1
Conegliano
27 Sept
Calcio San Dona
0 : 0
Este
20 Sept
Este
1 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
16 Sept
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
Page 1 of 6

FC Obermais

(Away)
04 Oct
Triestina
2 : 0
FC Obermais
27 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 2
Mestre
20 Sept
Conegliano
1 : 0
FC Obermais
16 Sept
FC Obermais
1 : 1
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
13 Sept
Este
0 : 1
FC Obermais
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cjarlins Muzane 6 5 0 1 17:5 15
2 Luparense FC 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
3 Calcio San Dona 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
4 Mestre 6 2 4 0 9:6 10
5 Campodarsego 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Clodiense 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
7 Bassano Virtus 6 2 3 1 6:3 9
8 Calvi Noale 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Lavarian Mortean Esperia 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
10 Este 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
11 Legnago Salus 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 Conegliano 6 2 1 3 3:7 7
13 Altavilla 6 1 3 2 14:9 6
14 Triestina 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
15 Virtus Bolzano 6 2 0 4 5:18 6
16 FC Obermais 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
17 Schio 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
18 Brian Lignano 6 1 0 5 7:14 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)