Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Este vs Mestre

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D
Wed, Nov 19, 2025
1 - 2
05:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Giacomazzi A.
51' Event
Romano A.
1' Event
Posocco F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Este
30%
Draws
33%
Mestre
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Este

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mestre come out ahead of Este on wins alone.
  • Model gives Este a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Mestre arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mestre, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Este Clean Sheet 68%
Mestre Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Este Mestre
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Mestre
0:0
Nov 19, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Este vs Mestre
1:2
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Este
1:1
Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Mestre
1:2
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Este
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Este Compare

Top Goalscorer Giacomazzi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Mestre Compare

Top Goalscorer Romano A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Este 86 / 100
Mestre 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Este Mestre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Este found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Mestre let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Este has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Este VS Mestre
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Este

(Home)
17 May
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
03 May
Este
2 : 0
Luparense FC
26 Apr
Treviso
1 : 2
Este
17 Apr
Este
1 : 1
Clodiense
12 Apr
Legnago Salus
1 : 1
Este
Page 1 of 6

Mestre

(Away)
17 May
Legnago Salus
2 : 0
Mestre
03 May
Mestre
1 : 0
Treviso
26 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0
Mestre
19 Apr
Mestre
1 : 1
Legnago Salus
12 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 2
Mestre
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0