Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Giacomazzi A.
51'
51'
Romano A.
1'
1'
Posocco F.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Mestre advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mestre
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Este come out ahead of Mestre on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Este have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Mestre, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Este Clean Sheet 25%
Mestre Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Este | Mestre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Mestre
0:0
Nov 19, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Este vs Mestre
1:2
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Este
1:1
Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Mestre
1:2
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Este
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Este Compare
Top Goalscorer Giacomazzi A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Mestre Compare
Top Goalscorer Romano A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Este 33 / 100
Mestre 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Este Mestre
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mestre Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Este found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Mestre let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Este has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Este VS Mestre
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Este
(Home) 27 Sept
Calcio San Dona
0 : 0 Este
20 Sept
Este
1 : 2 Cjarlins Muzane
16 Sept
Clodiense
1 : 0 Este
13 Sept
Este
0 : 1 FC Obermais
06 Sept
Brian Lignano
0 : 2 Este
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Este
1 : 2 Cjarlins Muzane
13 Sept
Este
0 : 1 FC Obermais
03 May
Este
2 : 0 Luparense FC
17 Apr
Este
1 : 1 Clodiense
03 Apr
Este
0 : 2 Calvi Noale
Page 1 of 3
Mestre
(Away) 27 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 2 Mestre
20 Sept
Mestre
3 : 2 Altavilla
16 Sept
Bassano Virtus
0 : 0 Mestre
12 Sept
Mestre
1 : 1 Luparense FC
06 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 2 Mestre
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 2 Mestre
16 Sept
Bassano Virtus
0 : 0 Mestre
06 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 2 Mestre
17 May
Legnago Salus
2 : 0 Mestre
26 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0 Mestre
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
