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Este vs Montecchio Maggiore

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Acquistapace A.
74' Event
Chajari O.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 game between Este and Montecchio Maggiore finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Este.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Este
15%
Draws
21%
Montecchio Maggiore
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Este

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Este come out ahead of Montecchio Maggiore on wins alone.
  • Model gives Este a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Este Clean Sheet 68%
Montecchio Maggiore Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Este Montecchio Maggiore
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Montecchio Maggiore
2:0
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Este
1:2
Jan 28, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Montecchio Maggiore
2:1
Oct 1, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Este
2:1
Mar 15, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Montecchio Maggiore
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Este Compare

Top Goalscorer Acquistapace A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chajari O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Montecchio Maggiore Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Este 86 / 100
Montecchio Maggiore 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Este Montecchio Maggiore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Este Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montecchio Maggiore has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Este's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Montecchio Maggiore lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Este VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Este

(Home)
20 Sept
Este
1 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
16 Sept
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
13 Sept
Este
0 : 1
FC Obermais
06 Sept
Brian Lignano
0 : 2
Este
17 May
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
Page 1 of 6

Montecchio Maggiore

(Away)
04 May
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 3
Brusaporto
27 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 1
Montecchio Maggiore
17 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 3
Calvi Noale
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
06 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 1
Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)