Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Gol Gohar

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Ghadir Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Akvan A.
Assist: Ashouri A.
40'
Ashouri A.
46'
Sub
Jafari R. In: Tomasevic N.
Out: Jafari R.

AI Match Summary

Gol Gohar in this Persian Gulf Pro League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gol Gohar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Esteghlal Khuzestan
22%
Draws
18%
Gol Gohar
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Esteghlal Khuzestan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Esteghlal Khuzestan haven't matched Gol Gohar's recent run of results.
  • Esteghlal Khuzestan are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Esteghlal Khuzestan Clean Sheet 68%
Gol Gohar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteghlal Khuzestan Gol Gohar
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Gol Gohar
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Gol Gohar
1:1
Aug 22, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Gol Gohar vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
2:0
Apr 18, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Gol Gohar vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
2:2
Nov 3, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Gol Gohar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esteghlal Khuzestan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Gol Gohar Compare

Top Goalscorer Akvan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteghlal Khuzestan 68 / 100
Gol Gohar 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteghlal Khuzestan Gol Gohar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Esteghlal Khuzestan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Gol Gohar has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Esteghlal Khuzestan's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Esteghlal Khuzestan VS Gol Gohar
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915