Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Malavan

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 Ghadir Stadium, Ahvaz
Sun, Mar 1, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esteghlal Khuzestan host Malavan in the Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Esteghlal Khuzestan at 0.63 goals for, 1.22 against; Malavan at 0.78 for, 1.07 against. Head-to-head, Esteghlal Khuzestan have won 0 to Malavan's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.63 - 0.88) back Malavan to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Esteghlal Khuzestan
30%
Draws
35%
Malavan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Malavan have won more games recently than Esteghlal Khuzestan.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Esteghlal Khuzestan taking it.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Esteghlal Khuzestan Clean Sheet 20%
Malavan Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteghlal Khuzestan Malavan
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.63 0.78
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Malavan
0:0
Oct 24, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Malavan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
2:1
Feb 27, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Malavan
1:2
Sep 27, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Malavan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
1:0
May 1, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Malavan
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteghlal Khuzestan 42 / 100
Malavan 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteghlal Khuzestan Malavan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malavan has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Esteghlal Khuzestan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Malavan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esteghlal Khuzestan VS Malavan
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Esteghlal Khuzestan

(Home)
10 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 0
Tractor
06 Sept
Sepahan
1 : 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
01 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1
Chadormalu
28 Aug
Paykan
0 : 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
23 Aug
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1
Mazandaran
Page 1 of 6

Malavan

(Away)
07 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 2
Malavan
02 Sept
Malavan
0 : 1
Mazandaran
29 Aug
Persepolis
3 : 0
Malavan
24 Aug
Malavan
0 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
19 Aug
Malavan
2 : 1
Zob Ahan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esteghlal TEH 22 11 8 3 29:16 41
2 Tractor 22 10 9 3 30:12 39
3 Sepahan 22 11 6 5 24:13 39
4 Gol Gohar 23 10 6 7 24:24 36
5 Chadormalu 22 9 8 5 27:19 35
6 Persepolis 22 9 7 6 23:19 34
7 Foolad 22 7 10 5 21:16 31
8 Fajr Sepasi 23 8 6 9 25:27 30
9 Kheybar Khorramabad 23 7 8 8 22:24 29
10 Malavan 22 7 8 7 13:21 29
11 Esteghlal Khuzestan 22 6 7 9 16:23 25
12 Paykan 23 5 9 9 15:21 24
13 Shams Azar Qazvin 23 3 13 7 15:19 22
14 Aluminium Arak 22 5 7 10 14:21 22
15 Zob Ahan 21 3 10 8 12:19 19
16 Mes Rafsanjan 22 3 6 13 13:29 15
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)