Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Persepolis

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Ghadir Stadium
Sun, Mar 15, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esteghlal Khuzestan play Persepolis in the Persian Gulf Pro League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Esteghlal Khuzestan averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Persepolis averaged 1.07 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. In past meetings, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 1, Persepolis won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 15, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 0.76 for Persepolis. This points to a Persepolis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Esteghlal Khuzestan
33%
Draws
41%
Persepolis
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Persepolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Esteghlal Khuzestan picked up more points recently compared to Persepolis.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 0.76 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Esteghlal Khuzestan Clean Sheet 27%
Persepolis Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 53%
Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteghlal Khuzestan Persepolis
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.67 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Persepolis
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
3:0
Apr 5, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
0:0
Oct 30, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Persepolis
1:0
May 24, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
4:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteghlal Khuzestan 29 / 100
Persepolis 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteghlal Khuzestan Persepolis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Persepolis or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.9%
3.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Esteghlal Khuzestan attacking → ← attacking Persepolis

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esteghlal Khuzestan scored in 56% of their last 27 games.

Persepolis let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Esteghlal Khuzestan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Persepolis lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 41
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915