Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esteghlal Molasani vs Damash Gilan

Iran Iran

Division 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Talebi Mamodan S.
19' Event
Seydali O.
90' Event
Namdari V.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2023/2024 game between Esteghlal Molasani and Damash Gilan finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Esteghlal Molasani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Esteghlal Molasani
35%
Draws
28%
Damash Gilan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Esteghlal Molasani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Esteghlal Molasani carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Esteghlal Molasani taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Esteghlal Molasani Clean Sheet 68%
Damash Gilan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteghlal Molasani Damash Gilan
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 10 5
Draws 9 12
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 0.9 0.62
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2024 Azadegan League
Esteghlal Molasani vs Damash Gilan
2:1
Sep 17, 2023 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Esteghlal Molasani
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esteghlal Molasani Compare

Top Goalscorer Seydali O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Namdari V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Damash Gilan Compare

Top Goalscorer Talebi Mamodan S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteghlal Molasani 46 / 100
Damash Gilan 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteghlal Molasani Damash Gilan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esteghlal Molasani found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Damash Gilan conceded in 78% of 37 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Esteghlal Molasani remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Damash Gilan
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Esteghlal Molasani

(Home)
10 Jun
Ario Eslamshahr
0 : 0
Esteghlal Molasani
05 Jun
Esteghlal Molasani
1 : 0
Mes Shahr Babak
30 May
Esteghlal Molasani
2 : 6
Kheybar Khorramabad
19 May
Esteghlal Molasani
0 : 3
Fajr Sepasi
13 May
Darya Babol
2 : 0
Esteghlal Molasani
Page 1 of 6

Damash Gilan

(Away)
16 Jul
Damash Gilan
0 : 0
Fard
11 Jul
Pars Janoobi Jam
4 : 0
Damash Gilan
03 Jul
Damash Gilan
1 : 1
Ario Eslamshahr
27 Jun
Havadar SC
4 : 1
Damash Gilan
21 Jun
Damash Gilan
1 : 1
Kara Gostar Shabestar
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kheybar Khorramabad 34 25 2 7 59:25 77
2 Fajr Sepasi 34 22 7 5 50:17 73
3 Chadormalu 34 22 7 5 47:20 73
4 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 34 16 13 5 47:29 58
5 Saipa 34 13 11 10 35:28 50
6 Mes Kerman 34 11 15 8 28:24 48
7 Ario Eslamshahr 34 11 13 10 28:28 46
8 Mes Shahr Babak 34 11 11 12 32:26 44
9 Naft Gachsaran 34 10 13 11 35:26 43
10 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 11 10 13 27:34 43
11 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 11 10 13 33:42 43
12 Esteghlal Molasani 34 10 13 11 26:33 38
13 Shahre Raz 34 8 12 14 25:34 36
14 Shahrdari Astara 34 9 6 19 22:44 33
15 Damash Gilan 34 7 11 16 32:45 32
16 Darya Babol 34 6 13 15 30:41 31
17 Shahin Bandar Ameri 34 4 9 8 21:51 27
18 Khoosheh Talai 34 6 6 22 17:47 24
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