Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esteghlal TEH vs Chadormalu

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 Azadi Stadium, Tehran
Sat, Mar 14, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esteghlal TEH host Chadormalu in the Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Esteghlal TEH have averaged 1.33 scored and 0.52 conceded recently, against Chadormalu's 1.07 scored and 0.96 conceded. Past meetings favor Esteghlal TEH slightly — 0-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 0.26, favoring Esteghlal TEH. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Esteghlal TEH
35%
Draws
28%
Chadormalu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Esteghlal TEH

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Esteghlal TEH come out ahead of Chadormalu on wins alone.
  • Model gives Esteghlal TEH a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Esteghlal TEH Clean Sheet 20%
Chadormalu Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteghlal TEH Chadormalu
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 15 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.52 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.26
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Chadormalu
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Chadormalu vs Esteghlal TEH
1:1
May 8, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Chadormalu
0:0
Dec 26, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Chadormalu vs Esteghlal TEH
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteghlal TEH 85 / 100
Chadormalu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteghlal TEH Chadormalu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esteghlal TEH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esteghlal TEH went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Esteghlal TEH's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Chadormalu has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Esteghlal TEH VS Chadormalu
1 Goals Scored 0.38
0.13 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Esteghlal TEH

(Home)
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0
Al-Sadd
10 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0
Paykan
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1
Persepolis
28 Aug
Foolad
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
Page 1 of 6

Chadormalu

(Away)
12 Sept
Sanat Naft
1 : 2
Chadormalu
06 Sept
Chadormalu
1 : 0
Shams Azar Qazvin
01 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1
Chadormalu
28 Aug
Chadormalu
0 : 2
Tractor
24 Aug
Gol Gohar
3 : 0
Chadormalu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esteghlal TEH 22 11 8 3 29:16 41
2 Tractor 22 10 9 3 30:12 39
3 Sepahan 22 11 6 5 24:13 39
4 Gol Gohar 23 10 6 7 24:24 36
5 Chadormalu 22 9 8 5 27:19 35
6 Persepolis 22 9 7 6 23:19 34
7 Foolad 22 7 10 5 21:16 31
8 Fajr Sepasi 23 8 6 9 25:27 30
9 Kheybar Khorramabad 23 7 8 8 22:24 29
10 Malavan 22 7 8 7 13:21 29
11 Esteghlal Khuzestan 22 6 7 9 16:23 25
12 Paykan 23 5 9 9 15:21 24
13 Shams Azar Qazvin 23 3 13 7 15:19 22
14 Aluminium Arak 22 5 7 10 14:21 22
15 Zob Ahan 21 3 10 8 12:19 19
16 Mes Rafsanjan 22 3 6 13 13:29 15
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)