Sport Picks
Esteghlal TEH vs Sepahan
Iran
Persian Gulf Pro League Azadi Stadium, Tehran 
Match Events
4'
4'
Asani J.
10'
10'
Gholizadeh E.
Assist: Saharkhizan S.
22'
22'
Habibi A.
AI Match Summary
The Persian Gulf Pro League game between Esteghlal TEH and Sepahan finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Esteghlal TEH.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Esteghlal TEH
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Sepahan have managed 1.18 goals a game lately — Esteghlal TEH are scoring more at 1.37.
- Esteghlal TEH are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Esteghlal TEH Clean Sheet 68%
Sepahan Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Esteghlal TEH | Sepahan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.48 | 0.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.32 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Sepahan
2:0
Mar 19, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Sepahan
0:0
Jan 1, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sepahan vs Esteghlal TEH
1:2
Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Esteghlal TEH vs Sepahan
1:1
May 15, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sepahan vs Esteghlal TEH
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Esteghlal TEH Compare
Top Goalscorer Asani J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gholizadeh E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Sepahan Compare
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Esteghlal TEH 77 / 100
Sepahan 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Esteghlal TEH Sepahan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Esteghlal TEH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Esteghlal TEH has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Esteghlal TEH scored in 70% of their last 27 games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Sepahan let in goals in 43% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Esteghlal TEH VS Sepahan
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Esteghlal TEH
(Home) 14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0 Al Sadd
10 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0 Paykan
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0 Esteghlal TEH
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1 Persepolis
28 Aug
Foolad
0 : 0 Esteghlal TEH
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0 Al Sadd
10 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0 Paykan
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1 Persepolis
23 Aug
Esteghlal TEH
2 : 0 Sepahan
14 Aug
Esteghlal TEH
4 : 0 Mes Shahr Babak
Page 1 of 3
Sepahan
(Away) 06 Sept
Sepahan
1 : 0 Esteghlal Khuzestan
02 Sept
Sanat Naft
0 : 0 Sepahan
28 Aug
Sepahan
2 : 0 Gol Gohar
23 Aug
Esteghlal TEH
2 : 0 Sepahan
18 Aug
Sepahan
0 : 2 Tractor
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Sanat Naft
0 : 0 Sepahan
23 Aug
Esteghlal TEH
2 : 0 Sepahan
14 Aug
Chadormalu
0 : 2 Sepahan
27 Feb
Paykan
0 : 0 Sepahan
18 Feb
Al Ahli
1 : 0 Sepahan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tractor | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Esteghlal TEH | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:1 | 15 |
| 3 | Persepolis | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | 13 |
| 4 | Aluminium Arak | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Sepahan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Gol Gohar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Foolad | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 8 | Paykan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | 8 |
| 9 | Mazandaran | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 8 |
| 10 | Chadormalu | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | 8 |
| 11 | Fajr Sepasi | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:3 | 7 |
| 12 | Malavan | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | 7 |
| 13 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 14 | Zob Ahan | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | 6 |
| 15 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 16 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 17 | Mes Shahr Babak | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 18 | Sanat Naft | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:8 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)
