Sport Picks
Esteghlal TEH vs Shamal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Asia
AFC Champions League Azadi Stadium, Tehran 
Match Events
45'
45'
Sabaly Y.
53'
53'
Mahrez R.
58'
58'
Benaissa N.
AI Match Summary
The AFC Champions League game between Esteghlal TEH and Shamal finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Esteghlal TEH.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Esteghlal TEH
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Shamal haven't matched Esteghlal TEH's recent run of results.
- Esteghlal TEH are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Esteghlal TEH Clean Sheet 68%
Shamal Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Esteghlal TEH | Shamal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.6 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 3, 2026 AFC Champions League
Esteghlal TEH vs Shamal
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Esteghlal TEH Compare
Top Goalscorer Asani J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Shamal Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Esteghlal TEH 59 / 100
Shamal 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Esteghlal TEH Shamal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Esteghlal TEH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Esteghlal TEH scored in 72% of their last 25 games.
Defensive concern: Shamal conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Esteghlal TEH went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Shamal's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Esteghlal TEH VS Shamal
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Esteghlal TEH
(Home) 03 Nov
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0 Shamal
27 Oct
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 0 Esteghlal TEH
23 Oct
Chadormalu
1 : 1 Esteghlal TEH
19 Oct
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0 Gol Gohar
12 Oct
Al Gharafa
1 : 2 Esteghlal TEH
Page 1 of 5
03 Nov
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0 Shamal
19 Oct
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0 Gol Gohar
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0 Al Sadd
10 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0 Paykan
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1 Persepolis
Page 1 of 3
Shamal
(Away) 03 Nov
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0 Shamal
30 Oct
Al Sadd
4 : 1 Shamal
27 Oct
Shamal
3 : 1 Al Hilal
23 Oct
Shamal
2 : 3 Qatar SC
17 Oct
Lusail
0 : 0 Shamal
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0 Shamal
30 Oct
Al Sadd
4 : 1 Shamal
17 Oct
Lusail
0 : 0 Shamal
12 Oct
Tractor
0 : 0 Shamal
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4 Shamal
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11:6 | 8 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 5 | Shanghai Port | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13:10 | 7 |
| 6 | Kyoto | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 7 | Johor DT | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Jeonbuk | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Beijing Guoan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 10 | Daejeon | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 11 | Cong An Ha Noi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 12 | Buriram United F.C. | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 13 | Port MTI FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:14 | 3 |
| 14 | Ratchaburi | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 1 |
| 15 | Pohang | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | 1 |
| 16 | Newcastle Jets | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:19 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Esteghlal TEH | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 4 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Al Qadsiah | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 8 |
| 6 | Al Ahli SC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 7 | Al Nassr | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:7 | 6 |
| 8 | Shamal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 9 | Neftchi Fargona | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 10 | Al Ittihad | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 11 | Al Wasl | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 12 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:9 | 3 |
| 13 | Tractor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 14 | Pakhtakor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | 2 |
| 15 | Al Sadd | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | 2 |
| 16 | Al Gharafa | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:11 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
