Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esteli vs San Marcos

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Primera Division 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2007/2008 game between Esteli and San Marcos finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Esteli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Esteli
20%
Draws
42%
San Marcos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Marcos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • San Marcos haven't matched Esteli's recent run of results.
  • Esteli are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2007/2008 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Esteli have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Esteli Clean Sheet 20%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteli San Marcos
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 21 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.83 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Liga Primera
Esteli vs San Marcos
2:0
Mar 16, 2014 Liga Primera
San Marcos vs Esteli
0:0
Jan 26, 2014 Liga Primera
Esteli vs San Marcos
2:0
Oct 13, 2013 Liga Primera
San Marcos vs Esteli
1:2
Aug 25, 2013 Liga Primera
Esteli vs San Marcos
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteli 40 / 100
San Marcos 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteli San Marcos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esteli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marcos has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Esteli scored in 77% of their last 35 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Esteli remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Esteli VS San Marcos
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Esteli

(Home)
11 Sept
Managua FC
1 : 1
Esteli
06 Sept
Rancho Santana
1 : 1
Esteli
03 Sept
Esteli
2 : 0
San Marcos
30 Aug
Sport Sebaco
0 : 5
Esteli
27 Aug
Marathon
3 : 0
Esteli
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San Marcos

(Away)
05 Sept
San Marcos
3 : 1
Jalapa
03 Sept
Esteli
2 : 0
San Marcos
30 Aug
San Marcos
1 : 0
Walter Ferreti
23 Aug
Rancho Santana
1 : 2
San Marcos
16 Aug
Matagalpa
1 : 0
San Marcos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diriangen 18 11 6 1 30:10 39
2 Ocotal 18 12 2 4 43:12 38
3 Walter Ferreti 18 11 3 4 34:13 36
4 Esteli 18 10 3 5 37:13 33
5 Real Madriz 18 6 5 7 16:27 23
6 Masatepe 18 6 3 9 23:24 21
7 Bluefields 18 5 6 7 26:33 21
8 Diablos Rojos America 18 6 2 10 19:36 20
9 San Marcos 18 4 5 9 21:39 17
10 Deportivo Jalapa 18 0 3 15 7:49 3
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)