Sport Picks
Esteli vs Sport Sebaco
Nicaragua
Liga Primera 2025/2026 Estadio Independencia, Estelí 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga Primera 2025/2026 game between Esteli and Sport Sebaco finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Esteli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Esteli come out ahead of Sport Sebaco on wins alone.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Esteli taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Esteli here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Esteli | Sport Sebaco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Esteli Compare
Sport Sebaco Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Esteli's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Esteli went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Sport Sebaco conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Esteli
(Home)Sport Sebaco
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diriangen | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 40:19 | 39 |
| 2 | Esteli | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 41:19 | 37 |
| 3 | Jalapa | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 29:16 | 33 |
| 4 | Managua FC | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 29 |
| 5 | Matagalpa | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30:24 | 22 |
| 6 | Walter Ferreti | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18:28 | 21 |
| 7 | Sport Sebaco | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 23:24 | 20 |
| 8 | UNAN-Managua | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21:34 | 16 |
| 9 | Rancho Santana | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20:43 | 16 |
| 10 | Real Madriz | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14:33 | 15 |