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Esteli vs UNAN-Managua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Esteli Logo

Esteli

1 - 1
FT
UNAN-Managua Logo

UNAN-Managua

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bonilla B.
78' Event
Treminio A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera game between Esteli and UNAN-Managua finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Esteli
20%
Draws
42%
UNAN-Managua
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UNAN-Managua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Esteli come out ahead of UNAN-Managua on wins alone.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Esteli taking it.
  • Regular Liga Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Esteli Clean Sheet 68%
UNAN-Managua Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteli UNAN-Managua
Matches Played 39 31
Wins 24 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.9 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Esteli
1:0
Jul 18, 2026 Liga Primera
Esteli vs UNAN-Managua
1:1
Mar 2, 2026 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Esteli
0:3
Jan 25, 2026 Liga Primera
Esteli vs UNAN-Managua
6:3
Sep 28, 2025 Liga Primera
Esteli vs UNAN-Managua
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esteli Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonilla B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

UNAN-Managua Compare

Top Goalscorer Treminio A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteli 77 / 100
UNAN-Managua 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteli UNAN-Managua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esteli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esteli scored in 77% of their last 39 games.

UNAN-Managua let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Esteli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esteli VS UNAN-Managua
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Esteli

(Home)
08 Oct
UNAN-Managua
1 : 0
Esteli
11 Sept
Managua FC
1 : 1
Esteli
06 Sept
Rancho Santana
1 : 1
Esteli
03 Sept
Esteli
2 : 0
San Marcos
30 Aug
Sport Sebaco
0 : 5
Esteli
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UNAN-Managua

(Away)
08 Oct
UNAN-Managua
1 : 0
Esteli
06 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 3
UNAN-Managua
04 Sept
Matagalpa
1 : 0
UNAN-Managua
31 Aug
UNAN-Managua
0 : 2
Managua FC
24 Aug
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 10 8 2 0 33:10 26
2 Diriangen 10 8 2 0 22:7 26
3 UNAN-Managua 10 6 2 2 12:7 20
4 Esteli 10 5 3 2 17:7 18
5 Sport Sebaco 9 3 2 4 9:17 11
6 San Marcos 10 3 1 6 9:16 10
7 Matagalpa 9 3 0 6 4:16 9
8 Walter Ferreti 10 2 2 6 14:18 8
9 Jalapa 10 1 2 7 6:16 5
10 Rancho Santana 10 1 2 7 8:20 5
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)