Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2016/2017

FC Tartu

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Eston Villa play FC Tartu in the Estonian Cup 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Eston Villa averaged 1.97 goals scored and 3.37 conceded. FC Tartu averaged 2.92 goals scored and 3.58 conceded. In past meetings, Eston Villa won 1, FC Tartu won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 21, 2017 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Eston Villa and 2.24 for FC Tartu. This points to a FC Tartu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Eston Villa

15%

Draws

55%

FC Tartu

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Tartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Eston Villa picked up more points recently compared to FC Tartu.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 2.24 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 98%

Over 2.5 Goals 89%

Over 3.5 Goals 53%

Over 4.5 Goals 27%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Eston Villa Clean Sheet 10%

FC Tartu Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 88%

Second Half Goal 93%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Eston Villa	FC Tartu
Matches Played	30	12
Wins	12	7
Draws	0	0
Losses	18	5
Goals Scored	1.97	2.92
Goals Conceded	3.37	3.58
Expected Goals (xG)	3.75	2.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	5.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2017 Estonian Cup

FC Tartu vs Eston Villa

Possession: 58% - 48% Cards: 2 - 0

3:1

Aug 17, 2016 Estonian Cup

Eston Villa vs FC Tartu

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

4:5

Jul 1, 2015 Estonian Cup

Eston Villa vs FC Tartu

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 0 - 3

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eston Villa 29 / 100

FC Tartu 52 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Eston Villa FC Tartu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Tartu Win (2)

Secondary Pick FC Tartu & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +6.8%

1.20

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Eston Villa attacking → ← attacking FC Tartu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eston Villa scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

FC Tartu let in goals in 83% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 5.33 goals.

Eston Villa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FC Tartu lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 21

3.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.60

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.60