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Estonia U16 vs Finland U16 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2024 EJL TNTK jalgpallivaljak, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
De Nascimento J.
78' Event
Mendolin R.
87' Event
De Nascimento J.

AI Match Summary

Finland U16 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Finland U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Estonia U16
15%
Draws
64%
Finland U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Finland U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Finland U16 lately — more wins on the board than Estonia U16.
  • Win probability leans Finland U16's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Finland U16 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Estonia U16 Clean Sheet 16%
Finland U16 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estonia U16 Finland U16
Matches Played 13 21
Wins 2 12
Draws 1 0
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.92 2.19
Goals Conceded 3.15 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2024 Friendly International
Estonia U16 vs Finland U16
0:3
Sep 25, 2023 Friendly International
Estonia U16 vs Finland U16
3:4
Oct 7, 2022 Friendly International
Finland U16 vs Estonia U16
6:2
Aug 25, 2021 Friendly International
Finland U16 vs Estonia U16
3:0
Aug 25, 2021 Friendly International
Finland U16 vs Estonia U16
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estonia U16 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Finland U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer De Nascimento J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mendolin R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estonia U16 10 / 100
Finland U16 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estonia U16 Finland U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland U16 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Finland U16 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 21 outings.

Estonia U16 found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (13 games).

Solid form: Estonia U16 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Estonia U16 VS Finland U16
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estonia U16

(Home)
19 Apr
Estonia U16
2 : 1
Azerbaijan U16
16 Apr
Moldova U16
4 : 0
Estonia U16
14 Apr
Georgia U16
4 : 0
Estonia U16
27 Sept
Estonia U16
0 : 3
Finland U16
23 Sept
Estonia U16
1 : 1
Northern Ireland U16
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Finland U16

(Away)
09 May
Finland U16
6 : 2
Greece U16
06 May
Finland U16
1 : 0
Ukraine U16
04 May
Finland U16
2 : 0
Hungary U16
28 Feb
Ireland U16
2 : 1
Finland U16
26 Feb
Ireland U16
2 : 3
Finland U16
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