Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estonia U17 vs Spain U17

Europe Europe

Euro U17 2026 A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Urrestarazu M.
Assist: Tunkara E.
30' Event
Mayans S.
Assist: Gomez R.
31'
Sub
Kaasik R. In: Isok K.
Out: Kaasik R.

AI Match Summary

Spain U17 in this Euro U17 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spain U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Estonia U17
15%
Draws
76%
Spain U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spain U17 lately — more wins on the board than Estonia U17.
  • Win probability leans Spain U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U17 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Spain U17 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Estonia U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Spain U17 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estonia U17 Spain U17
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 3 21
Draws 2 6
Losses 24 4
Goals Scored 0.83 2.61
Goals Conceded 2.66 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.32 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Euro U17
Estonia U17 vs Spain U17
1:4
Oct 30, 2024 Euro U17
Spain U17 vs Estonia U17
4:0
Mar 29, 2022 Euro U17
Estonia U17 vs Spain U17
0:4
Oct 22, 2008 Euro U17
Spain U17 vs Estonia U17
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estonia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Neltsas R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.16

Spain U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Urrestarazu M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mayans S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estonia U17 10 / 100
Spain U17 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estonia U17 Spain U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.75 goals as a typical output.

Estonia U17 scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Spain U17 has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Estonia U17 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estonia U17 VS Spain U17
0.38 Goals Scored 3
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Estonia U17

(Home)
02 Jul
Estonia U17
1 : 4
Lithuania U17
30 Jun
Latvia U17
3 : 0
Estonia U17
28 Jun
Finland U17
0 : 0
Estonia U17
31 May
Belgium U17
1 : 0
Estonia U17
28 May
Estonia U17
1 : 3
Croatia U17
Page 1 of 6

Spain U17

(Away)
04 Jun
Italy U17
2 : 1
Spain U17
31 May
Spain U17
2 : 3
Croatia U17
28 May
Belgium U17
0 : 1
Spain U17
25 May
Estonia U17
1 : 4
Spain U17
23 Apr
Spain U17
3 : 1
Ukraine U17
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U17 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
2 Spain U17 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Croatia U17 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
4 Estonia U17 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U17 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 France U17 3 2 0 1 9:1 6
3 Denmark U17 3 1 1 1 5:8 4
4 Montenegro U17 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Play Offs)