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Estonia U18 vs Moldova U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Stina V.
24' Event
Mihhailov V.
33' Event
Stina V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 game between Estonia U18 and Moldova U18 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Estonia U18
15%
Draws
21%
Moldova U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estonia U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moldova U18 come out ahead of Estonia U18 on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Estonia U18 taking it.
  • Regular Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Estonia U18 Clean Sheet 68%
Moldova U18 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estonia U18 Moldova U18
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 5 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.82 0.91
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2017 Valentin Granatkin Memorial
Moldova U18 vs Estonia U18
1:0
Jan 3, 2016 Valentin Granatkin Memorial
Estonia U18 vs Moldova U18
2:2
Jan 9, 2015 Valentin Granatkin Memorial
Estonia U18 vs Moldova U18
0:1
Jan 5, 2014 Valentin Granatkin Memorial
Moldova U18 vs Estonia U18
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estonia U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mihhailov V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kanter J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Moldova U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Stina V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estonia U18 86 / 100
Moldova U18 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estonia U18 Moldova U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estonia U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Moldova U18 conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Moldova U18 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Estonia U18 scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estonia U18 VS Moldova U18
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Estonia U18

(Home)
18 Jun
Lithuania U18
2 : 1
Estonia U18
25 Sept
Scotland U18
4 : 1
Estonia U18
23 Sept
Estonia U18
0 : 1
Poland U18
21 Sept
France U18
3 : 0
Estonia U18
26 Mar
Switzerland U18
0 : 1
Estonia U18
Page 1 of 6

Moldova U18

(Away)
07 Sept
Moldova U18
0 : 2
Romania U18
05 Sept
Moldova U18
1 : 1
Romania U18
19 Nov
Georgia U18
2 : 0
Moldova U18
17 Nov
Georgia U18
2 : 1
Moldova U18
10 Sept
Moldova U18
0 : 5
Romania U18
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg U18 4 3 1 0 12:4 10
2 Slovakia U18 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
3 Belarus U18 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
4 Japan U18 4 1 1 2 8:10 4
5 Lithuania U18 4 0 1 3 3:13 1
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Russia U18 4 2 2 0 14:5 8
2 Finland U18 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
3 Kazakhstan U18 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
4 Moldova U18 4 0 3 1 3:4 3
5 Estonia U18 4 0 3 1 6:10 3
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia U18 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Latvia U18 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Azerbaijan U18 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
4 Bulgaria U18 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)