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Estonia vs Basque Country

World World

Friendly International 2011
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
57' Event
Kink T.
63' Event

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2011 game between Estonia and Basque Country finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Basque Country.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Estonia
20%
Draws
32%
Basque Country
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Estonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Friendly International 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Estonia Clean Sheet 10%
Basque Country Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estonia Basque Country
Matches Played 31 11
Wins 8 7
Draws 4 2
Losses 19 2
Goals Scored 0.97 2
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2011 Friendly International
Estonia vs Basque Country
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kink T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Basque Country Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estonia 34 / 100
Basque Country 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estonia Basque Country

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basque Country Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Basque Country conceded in 73% of 11 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Estonia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Estonia scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estonia VS Basque Country
1 Goals Scored 3
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Estonia

(Home)
09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Lithuania
06 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Faroe Islands
30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0
Estonia
27 Mar
Kenya
1 : 2
Estonia
18 Nov
Cyprus
2 : 4
Estonia
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Basque Country

(Away)
15 Nov
Basque Country
3 : 0
Palestine
23 Mar
Uruguay
1 : 1
Basque Country
02 Jul
Pau
3 : 0
Basque Country
16 Nov
Basque Country
2 : 1
Costa Rica
30 May
Panama
0 : 0
Basque Country
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