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Estonia vs Faroe Islands

Europe Europe

Baltic Cup 2024 A. Le Coq Arena
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AI Match Summary

Estonia play Faroe Islands in the Baltic Cup 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Estonia averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Faroe Islands averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. In past meetings, Estonia won 4, Faroe Islands won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 6, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Estonia and 1.81 for Faroe Islands. This points to a Estonia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Estonia
15%
Draws
41%
Faroe Islands
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Estonia picked up more points recently compared to Faroe Islands.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Estonia Clean Sheet 11%
Faroe Islands Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estonia Faroe Islands
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0.97 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Baltic Cup
Estonia vs Faroe Islands
1:0
Jun 8, 2024 Baltic Cup
Estonia vs Faroe Islands
4:1
Jun 7, 2011 Euro
Faroe Islands vs Estonia
2:0
Aug 11, 2010 Euro
Estonia vs Faroe Islands
2:1
Jun 4, 2008 Friendly International
Estonia vs Faroe Islands
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamm A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anier H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Faroe Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Knudsen P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estonia 42 / 100
Faroe Islands 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estonia Faroe Islands

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Estonia or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Estonia attacking → ← attacking Faroe Islands

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estonia scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Faroe Islands let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Estonia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Faroe Islands lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 31
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75