Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estonia vs Faroe Islands

Europe Europe

Baltic Cup 2024 A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Knudsen P.
Assist: Sorensen H.
43' Event
Tamm A.
Assist: Saarma R.
46'
Sub
Edmundsson J. S. In: Olsen K.
Out: Edmundsson J. S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Estonia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Estonia
20%
Draws
40%
Faroe Islands
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Faroe Islands carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Estonia's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Faroe Islands arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Estonia, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Estonia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Estonia Clean Sheet 68%
Faroe Islands Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estonia Faroe Islands
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Baltic Cup
Estonia vs Faroe Islands
1:0
Jun 8, 2024 Baltic Cup
Estonia vs Faroe Islands
4:1
Jun 7, 2011 Euro
Faroe Islands vs Estonia
2:0
Aug 11, 2010 Euro
Estonia vs Faroe Islands
2:1
Jun 4, 2008 Friendly International
Estonia vs Faroe Islands
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamm A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anier H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Faroe Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Knudsen P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estonia 50 / 100
Faroe Islands 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estonia Faroe Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Estonia's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Faroe Islands's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 25 matches.

Recent resilience: Estonia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estonia VS Faroe Islands
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Estonia

(Home)
26 Sept
Iceland
1 : 1
Estonia
09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Lithuania
06 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Faroe Islands
30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0
Estonia
27 Mar
Kenya
1 : 2
Estonia
Page 1 of 6

Faroe Islands

(Away)
26 Sept
Faroe Islands
1 : 1
Kazakhstan
09 Jun
Latvia
0 : 1
Faroe Islands
06 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Faroe Islands
28 Mar
San Marino
1 : 2
Faroe Islands
18 Nov
Faroe Islands
1 : 0
Kazakhstan
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Lithuania 2
Latvia 0
Estonia 4
Faroe Islands 1
Final
Lithuania 1
Estonia 2
Latvia 1
Faroe Islands 0