Sport Picks
Estoril U19 vs Nacional U19
Portugal
Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 game between Estoril U19 and Nacional U19 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estoril U19.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Estoril U19 have managed 1.16 goals a game lately — Nacional U19 are scoring more at 1.17.
- 35% — that's where the model lands on Nacional U19 taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Estoril U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Nacional U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Estoril U19 | Nacional U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 13 |
| Losses | 17 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.16 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.81 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 14, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Estoril U19 vs Nacional U19
3:2
Oct 8, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Nacional U19 vs Estoril U19
0:2
Dec 4, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Nacional U19 vs Estoril U19
0:0
Sep 11, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Estoril U19 vs Nacional U19
1:1
Apr 15, 2017 Campeonato Nacional U19
Nacional U19 vs Estoril U19
4:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Estoril U19 28 / 100
Nacional U19 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Estoril U19 Nacional U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nacional U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Estoril U19 scored in 63% of their last 32 games.
Defensive concern: Nacional U19 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Estoril U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Estoril U19 VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Estoril U19
(Home) 25 May
Beira Mar U19
2 : 0 Estoril U19
18 May
Estoril U19
2 : 3 Belenenses U19
11 May
Alverca U19
0 : 1 Estoril U19
04 May
Estoril U19
0 : 2 SC Lusitania U19
27 Apr
Torreense U19
0 : 1 Estoril U19
Page 1 of 7
18 May
Estoril U19
2 : 3 Belenenses U19
04 May
Estoril U19
0 : 2 SC Lusitania U19
13 Apr
Estoril U19
1 : 2 Vitoria Setubal U19
06 Apr
Estoril U19
5 : 1 Beira Mar U19
09 Mar
Estoril U19
1 : 1 Alverca U19
Page 1 of 4
Nacional U19
(Away) 27 May
Nacional U19
2 : 2 Academica U19
20 May
Vitoria Setubal U19
1 : 1 Nacional U19
13 May
Maritimo U19
0 : 0 Nacional U19
06 May
Nacional U19
1 : 0 Vilafranquense U19
29 Apr
Casa Pia U19
3 : 3 Nacional U19
Page 1 of 6
20 May
Vitoria Setubal U19
1 : 1 Nacional U19
13 May
Maritimo U19
0 : 0 Nacional U19
29 Apr
Casa Pia U19
3 : 3 Nacional U19
15 Apr
Torreense U19
1 : 1 Nacional U19
08 Apr
Academica U19
0 : 1 Nacional U19
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto U19 | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 42:23 | 43 |
| 2 | Vizela U19 | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 51:32 | 42 |
| 3 | Famalicao U19 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 38:22 | 41 |
| 4 | Braga U19 | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 38:28 | 39 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 43:37 | 38 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente U19 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 42:38 | 31 |
| 7 | Pacos Ferreira U19 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 41:45 | 30 |
| 8 | Gondomar U19 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 29:38 | 29 |
| 9 | Boavista U19 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 27:31 | 28 |
| 10 | Rio Ave U19 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22:28 | 26 |
| 11 | Tondela U19 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17:37 | 14 |
| 12 | Anadia U19 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 23:54 | 4 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica U19 | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 69:29 | 48 |
| 2 | Sporting CP U19 | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 40:16 | 47 |
| 3 | Alverca U19 | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 43:36 | 42 |
| 4 | Estoril U19 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 28:35 | 35 |
| 5 | Academica U19 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32:29 | 35 |
| 6 | Belenenses U19 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 32:23 | 34 |
| 7 | Torreense U19 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 31:34 | 28 |
| 8 | Maritimo U19 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19:33 | 22 |
| 9 | Casa Pia U19 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22:46 | 21 |
| 10 | Nacional U19 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 26:39 | 20 |
| 11 | Vitoria Setubal U19 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 28:36 | 20 |
| 12 | Vilafranquense U19 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 19:33 | 14 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)
