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Estoril U23 vs Gil Vicente U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Amorim D.
20' Event
Baruti K.
28' Event
Martins R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Next Gen U23 game between Estoril U23 and Gil Vicente U23 finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Estoril U23
30%
Draws
27%
Gil Vicente U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estoril U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gil Vicente U23 come out ahead of Estoril U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Estoril U23's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Estoril U23 Clean Sheet 11%
Gil Vicente U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estoril U23 Gil Vicente U23
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 19
Draws 11 5
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.47 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Estoril U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
3:3
Apr 28, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Estoril U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
1:2
Feb 19, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Gil Vicente U23 vs Estoril U23
2:1
Apr 30, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Gil Vicente U23 vs Estoril U23
2:1
Feb 25, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Estoril U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estoril U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Baruti K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luz E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Gil Vicente U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Amorim D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estoril U23 65 / 100
Gil Vicente U23 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estoril U23 Gil Vicente U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estoril U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estoril U23's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Estoril U23 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Gil Vicente U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Estoril U23 VS Gil Vicente U23
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Estoril U23

(Home)
09 Oct
Estoril U23
1 : 0
Sporting CP U23
05 Oct
Torreense U23
2 : 3
Estoril U23
22 Sept
Academico Viseu U23
1 : 1
Estoril U23
08 Sept
Estoril U23
4 : 2
Famalicao U23
01 Sept
FC Felgueiras U23
2 : 2
Estoril U23
Page 1 of 6

Gil Vicente U23

(Away)
21 Sept
Leiria U23
0 : 1
Gil Vicente U23
15 Sept
Gil Vicente U23
2 : 0
Portimonense U23
08 Sept
Maritimo U23
1 : 1
Gil Vicente U23
01 Sept
Gil Vicente U23
0 : 2
Rio Ave U23
24 Aug
Braga U23
1 : 0
Gil Vicente U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U23 7 4 3 0 15:9 15
2 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
3 Estoril U23 7 3 4 0 16:12 13
4 Rio Ave U23 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
5 FC Felgueiras U23 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
6 SC Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
7 Braga U23 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
8 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
10 Santa Clara U23 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
12 Moreirense U23 7 1 5 1 10:9 8
13 Famalicao U23 7 2 2 3 13:15 8
14 Leiria U23 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
15 Leixoes U23 7 1 3 3 12:12 6
16 Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 9:12 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 9:11 5
18 Estrela da Amadora U23 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4:9 4
20 Maritimo U23 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)