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Estoril U23 vs Sporting CP U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estoril U23 host Sporting CP U23 in the Liga Next Gen U23. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Sporting CP U23 have shipped 1.59 goals a game lately, while Estoril U23 have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.48. Past meetings favor Sporting CP U23 slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 1, 2025, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.69 - 1.81) back Sporting CP U23 to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Estoril U23
35%
Draws
32%
Sporting CP U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Estoril U23 and Sporting CP U23 have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • Win probability leans Estoril U23's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Estoril U23 Clean Sheet 11%
Sporting CP U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estoril U23 Sporting CP U23
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Sporting CP U23 vs Estoril U23
3:2
Sep 12, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Estoril U23 vs Sporting CP U23
0:5
Mar 16, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Estoril U23 vs Sporting CP U23
0:1
Jan 15, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Sporting CP U23 vs Estoril U23
2:2
Dec 2, 2024 Liga Next Gen U23
Estoril U23 vs Sporting CP U23
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estoril U23 35 / 100
Sporting CP U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estoril U23 Sporting CP U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estoril U23 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Sporting CP U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Estoril U23 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Estoril U23 VS Sporting CP U23
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estoril U23

(Home)
05 Oct
Torreense U23
2 : 3
Estoril U23
22 Sept
Academico Viseu U23
1 : 1
Estoril U23
08 Sept
Estoril U23
4 : 2
Famalicao U23
01 Sept
FC Felgueiras U23
2 : 2
Estoril U23
25 Aug
Estoril U23
2 : 1
Moreirense U23
Page 1 of 6

Sporting CP U23

(Away)
19 Sept
Sporting CP U23
1 : 1
Penafiel U23
15 Sept
Sporting CP U23
2 : 2
Academico Viseu U23
05 Sept
Leixoes U23
3 : 4
Sporting CP U23
01 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
1 : 2
Sporting CP U23
25 Aug
Sporting CP U23
4 : 1
Benfica U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U23 7 4 3 0 15:9 15
2 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
3 Estoril U23 7 3 4 0 16:12 13
4 Rio Ave U23 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
5 FC Felgueiras U23 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
6 SC Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
7 Braga U23 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
8 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
10 Santa Clara U23 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
12 Moreirense U23 7 1 5 1 10:9 8
13 Famalicao U23 7 2 2 3 13:15 8
14 Leiria U23 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
15 Leixoes U23 7 1 3 3 12:12 6
16 Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 9:12 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 9:11 5
18 Estrela da Amadora U23 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4:9 4
20 Maritimo U23 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)