Sport Picks
Match Events
32'
32'
Koutsias G.
Assist: Gil Dias
53'
53'
Sanchez R.
66'
66'
Sub
Lacximicant A. In: Garcia F.
Out: Lacximicant A.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal game between Estoril and Famalicao finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
35%
56%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Famalicao
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Famalicao come out ahead of Estoril on wins alone.
- Famalicao are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Liga Portugal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Famalicao have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Estoril Clean Sheet 23%
Famalicao Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Estoril | Famalicao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 15 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 0.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 Liga Portugal
Estoril vs Famalicao
1:1
Apr 26, 2026 Liga Portugal
Estoril vs Famalicao
0:1
Dec 14, 2025 Liga Portugal
Famalicao vs Estoril
4:0
Nov 22, 2025 Taça de Portugal
Estoril vs Famalicao
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Liga Portugal
Famalicao vs Estoril
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Estoril Compare
Top Goalscorer Begraoui Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Famalicao Compare
Top Goalscorer Koutsias G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Estoril 16 / 100
Famalicao 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Estoril Famalicao
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Famalicao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Estoril scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Famalicao conceded in 46% of 28 recent games.
Estoril went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Estoril VS Famalicao
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Estoril
(Home) 20 Sept
Estoril
1 : 2 Casa Pia
14 Sept
Braga
1 : 0 Estoril
07 Sept
Estoril
0 : 0 Arouca
31 Aug
Benfica
2 : 1 Estoril
22 Aug
Estoril
0 : 2 Rio Ave
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Estoril
1 : 2 Casa Pia
07 Sept
Estoril
0 : 0 Arouca
22 Aug
Estoril
0 : 2 Rio Ave
07 Aug
Estoril
1 : 1 Famalicao
25 Jul
Estoril
0 : 0 Torreense
Page 1 of 3
Famalicao
(Away) 19 Sept
Nacional
0 : 4 Famalicao
13 Sept
Famalicao
1 : 1 Sporting CP
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2 Famalicao
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0 Gil Vicente
23 Aug
Santa Clara
1 : 0 Famalicao
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Nacional
0 : 4 Famalicao
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2 Famalicao
23 Aug
Santa Clara
1 : 0 Famalicao
07 Aug
Estoril
1 : 1 Famalicao
28 Jul
Lens
0 : 1 Famalicao
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 21 |
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)
