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Estoril vs Mafra

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Wed, Jul 23, 2025
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estoril host Mafra in the Club Friendly 2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Mafra have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Estoril have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.27. Past meetings favor Estoril slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 23, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.63 vs 1.44, favoring Mafra. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Estoril
15%
Draws
76%
Mafra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mafra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mafra come out ahead of Estoril on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mafra's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Estoril Clean Sheet 16%
Mafra Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estoril Mafra
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.27 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Estoril vs Mafra
0:0
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Estoril vs Mafra
0:0
Nov 26, 2023 Taça de Portugal
Estoril vs Mafra
2:1
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Estoril vs Mafra
1:0
May 20, 2021 Liga Portugal 2
Estoril vs Mafra
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estoril 15 / 100
Mafra 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estoril Mafra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mafra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estoril found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Mafra let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Estoril remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Estoril VS Mafra
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estoril

(Home)
20 Sept
Estoril
1 : 2
Casa Pia
14 Sept
Braga
1 : 0
Estoril
07 Sept
Estoril
0 : 0
Arouca
31 Aug
Benfica
2 : 1
Estoril
22 Aug
Estoril
0 : 2
Rio Ave
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Mafra

(Away)
19 Sept
Mafra
3 : 2
Tirsense
12 Sept
Oliveirense
2 : 1
Mafra
05 Sept
Mafra
1 : 0
Covilha
29 Aug
Malveira
2 : 3
Mafra
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1
Mafra
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