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Estradense vs Rapido de Bouzas Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Rey J.
90'
Perez C.

AI Match Summary

Estradense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estradense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Estradense
20%
Draws
44%
Rapido de Bouzas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rapido de Bouzas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Estradense have won more games recently than Rapido de Bouzas.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Rapido de Bouzas taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Estradense Clean Sheet 27%
Rapido de Bouzas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estradense Rapido de Bouzas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Rapido de Bouzas
1:0
Dec 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Rapido de Bouzas vs Estradense
0:3
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Rapido de Bouzas
1:3
Nov 5, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Rapido de Bouzas vs Estradense
1:0
Mar 5, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Rapido de Bouzas vs Estradense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estradense Compare

Top Goalscorer Rey J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Rapido de Bouzas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estradense 25 / 100
Rapido de Bouzas 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estradense Rapido de Bouzas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rapido de Bouzas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estradense scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Rapido de Bouzas has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Estradense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estradense VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Estradense

(Home)
27 Sept
Celtiga
2 : 0
Estradense
20 Sept
Estradense
3 : 1
Montaneros
12 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
1 : 1
Estradense
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2
Estradense
Page 1 of 7

Rapido de Bouzas

(Away)
12 May
Rapido de Bouzas
5 : 1
Sarriana
05 May
Betanzos CF
1 : 0
Rapido de Bouzas
01 May
Rapido de Bouzas
2 : 0
Silva SD
27 Apr
Estradense
1 : 0
Rapido de Bouzas
20 Apr
Rapido de Bouzas
1 : 2
Lugo B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 34 21 10 3 49:19 73
2 Gran Pena 34 15 16 3 48:30 61
3 Arosa SC 34 15 13 6 39:23 58
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 47:34 55
5 Sarriana 34 14 8 12 43:35 50
6 Atletico Arteixo 34 11 14 9 46:39 47
7 Somozas 34 12 9 13 43:39 45
8 Estradense 34 11 12 11 31:32 45
9 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 14 10 33:34 44
10 Viveiro 34 12 8 14 39:42 44
11 Alondras 34 10 14 10 37:36 44
12 Silva SD 34 11 10 13 35:35 43
13 Lugo B 34 11 10 13 32:34 43
14 Betanzos CF 34 10 13 11 35:31 43
15 Rapido de Bouzas 34 11 9 14 38:40 42
16 Paiosaco 34 10 11 13 30:42 41
17 Pontevedra B 34 7 5 22 27:65 26
18 Arzua 34 4 6 24 24:66 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)