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Estradense vs Sarriana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Vazquez O.
45' Event
Diaz I.
50' Event
Perez Bujan A.

AI Match Summary

Sarriana in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarriana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Estradense
15%
Draws
48%
Sarriana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarriana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Estradense lately — more wins on the board than Sarriana.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sarriana have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Estradense Clean Sheet 12%
Sarriana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estradense Sarriana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.41 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Sarriana
1:3
Jun 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Sarriana
0:2
Jun 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Sarriana vs Estradense
2:0
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Sarriana vs Estradense
3:2
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Sarriana
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estradense Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sarriana Compare

Top Goalscorer Vazquez O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estradense 35 / 100
Sarriana 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estradense Sarriana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarriana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estradense found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Sarriana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Estradense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estradense VS Sarriana
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estradense

(Home)
04 Oct
Estradense
3 : 2
CD Boiro
27 Sept
Celtiga
2 : 0
Estradense
20 Sept
Estradense
3 : 1
Montaneros
12 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
1 : 1
Estradense
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
Page 1 of 6

Sarriana

(Away)
04 Oct
Somozas
2 : 1
Sarriana
26 Sept
Sarriana
3 : 2
Gran Pena
20 Sept
Alondras
2 : 0
Sarriana
13 Sept
Sarriana
2 : 0
Viveiro
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
2 Barco 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
3 Lalin 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
4 Antela 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
5 Sarriana 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
6 Racing Club Villalbes 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
7 Alondras 5 3 0 2 10:9 9
8 Pontevedra B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
9 Portonovo SD 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Gran Pena 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
11 Estradense 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
12 Celtiga 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Somozas 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Atletico Arteixo 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
15 Silva SD 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
16 Viveiro 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
17 Arenteiro 5 1 0 4 4:7 3
18 Montaneros 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)