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Estradense vs Viveiro

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Pedrosa D.
75' Event
Pedrosa D.

AI Match Summary

Estradense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estradense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Estradense
35%
Draws
32%
Viveiro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Estradense have won more games recently than Viveiro.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Estradense here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Estradense Clean Sheet 20%
Viveiro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estradense Viveiro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.34 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Viveiro
2:0
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Viveiro vs Estradense
0:3
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Viveiro
2:0
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Viveiro vs Estradense
3:4
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Viveiro vs Estradense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estradense Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedrosa D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Viveiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estradense 32 / 100
Viveiro 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estradense Viveiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estradense's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Viveiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Estradense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estradense VS Viveiro
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Estradense

(Home)
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2
Estradense
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
08 Aug
Estradense
0 : 5
Pontevedra
23 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2
Estradense
16 May
Estradense
0 : 1
Atletico Arteixo
Page 1 of 6

Viveiro

(Away)
10 May
Viveiro
0 : 1
Compostela
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2
Viveiro
25 Apr
Estradense
2 : 0
Viveiro
19 Apr
Viveiro
0 : 0
Lugo B
12 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Viveiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)