Sport Picks
Estrela Calheta vs UD Ovarense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Match Events
AI Match Summary
UD Ovarense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Ovarense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to UD Ovarense lately — more wins on the board than Estrela Calheta.
- UD Ovarense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Estrela Calheta | UD Ovarense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 13 | 29 |
| Wins | 2 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.69 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Estrela Calheta Compare
UD Ovarense Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: UD Ovarense conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Estrela Calheta found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (13 games).
Recent resilience: Estrela Calheta stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Estrela Calheta
(Home)UD Ovarense
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Ovarense | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 12 |
| 2 | Machico | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 8 |
| 3 | Camacha | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Castro Daire | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 5 | Florgrade | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 6 | SC Salgueiros | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 7 | Cinfaes | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Sanjoanense | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 9 | Uniao Lamas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 10 | Beira Mar | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Alpendorada | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 12 | Estrela Calheta | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | 2 |
| 13 | Guarda FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 14 | Sousense | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 1 |