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Estrela da Amadora B vs Moura AC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025
Estrela da Amadora B Logo

Estrela da Amadora B

2 - 2
FT
Moura AC Logo

Moura AC

Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Carvalho E.
59'
Sub
Pistelli M. In: Carrasco Serafim Lemos M. B.
Out: Pistelli M.
67'
Sub
Artur Simionato In: Aquino
Out: Artur Simionato
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 game between Estrela da Amadora B and Moura AC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Estrela da Amadora B
30%
Draws
31%
Moura AC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estrela da Amadora B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moura AC come out ahead of Estrela da Amadora B on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Estrela da Amadora B Clean Sheet 20%
Moura AC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela da Amadora B Moura AC
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.35 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Moura AC vs Estrela da Amadora B
1:1
Dec 7, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Estrela da Amadora B vs Moura AC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrela da Amadora B Compare

Top Goalscorer Carvalho E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oliveira T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Moura AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aquino
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela da Amadora B 32 / 100
Moura AC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela da Amadora B Moura AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moura AC let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Estrela da Amadora B scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Estrela da Amadora B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estrela da Amadora B VS Moura AC
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela da Amadora B

(Home)
13 Apr
Lusitano GC
1 : 2
Estrela da Amadora B
06 Apr
Estrela da Amadora B
2 : 3
Serpa
29 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 1
Estrela da Amadora B
15 Mar
Estrela da Amadora B
0 : 2
Amora
08 Mar
Lagoa
0 : 0
Estrela da Amadora B
Page 1 of 6

Moura AC

(Away)
13 Apr
Moura AC
1 : 2
Amora
06 Apr
Lagoa
0 : 1
Moura AC
29 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 1
Estrela da Amadora B
16 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 2
Sintrense
09 Mar
Moura AC
0 : 1
Louletano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitano GC 26 18 4 4 57:14 58
2 Amora 26 17 6 3 41:19 57
3 Sintrense 26 16 4 6 39:26 52
4 Moncarapachense 26 15 6 5 39:19 51
5 Louletano 26 15 5 6 44:20 50
6 Serpa 26 13 6 7 42:27 45
7 Estrela da Amadora B 26 7 9 10 35:31 30
8 Lagoa 26 7 9 10 26:35 30
9 Industria 26 8 5 13 35:42 29
10 Fabril do Barreiro 26 6 9 11 21:32 27
11 Moura AC 26 7 5 14 27:50 26
12 Operario 26 6 5 15 22:43 23
13 FC Barreirense 26 5 7 14 31:47 22
14 Estrela Vendas Novas 26 1 2 23 12:66 5
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)