Sport Picks
Estrela da Amadora U23 vs Leiria U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga Next Gen U23 
Match Events
46'
46'
Poniewas H.
64'
64'
Poniewas H.
AI Match Summary
Estrela da Amadora U23 in this Liga Next Gen U23 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estrela da Amadora U23.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estrela da Amadora U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Estrela da Amadora U23 lately — more wins on the board than Leiria U23.
- Leiria U23 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Estrela da Amadora U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Leiria U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Estrela da Amadora U23 | Leiria U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Estrela da Amadora U23 vs Leiria U23
2:0
Mar 9, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Estrela da Amadora U23 vs Leiria U23
0:2
Jan 14, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Leiria U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23
1:4
Oct 11, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Estrela da Amadora U23 vs Leiria U23
1:1
Aug 15, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Leiria U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Estrela da Amadora U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Poniewas H.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Leiria U23 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Estrela da Amadora U23 23 / 100
Leiria U23 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Estrela da Amadora U23 Leiria U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leiria U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Leiria U23 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Estrela da Amadora U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Difficult form: Leiria U23 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Estrela da Amadora U23 VS Leiria U23
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Estrela da Amadora U23
(Home) 06 Oct
FC Felgueiras U23
3 : 1 Estrela da Amadora U23
19 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 2 Moreirense U23
08 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 0 Leiria U23
01 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
1 : 2 Sporting CP U23
25 Aug
Maritimo U23
0 : 0 Estrela da Amadora U23
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 2 Moreirense U23
08 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 0 Leiria U23
01 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
1 : 2 Sporting CP U23
18 Aug
Estrela da Amadora U23
0 : 3 Leixoes U23
29 Mar
Estrela da Amadora U23
1 : 0 Rio Ave U23
Page 1 of 3
Leiria U23
(Away) 06 Oct
Leiria U23
1 : 1 Santa Clara U23
21 Sept
Leiria U23
0 : 1 Gil Vicente U23
14 Sept
Leiria U23
1 : 2 Benfica U23
08 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 0 Leiria U23
01 Sept
Leiria U23
2 : 0 Maritimo U23
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 0 Leiria U23
25 Aug
Leixoes U23
1 : 2 Leiria U23
11 Aug
Sporting CP U23
1 : 1 Leiria U23
21 Apr
Vizela U23
0 : 3 Leiria U23
29 Mar
Estoril U23
1 : 1 Leiria U23
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP U23 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu U23 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:10 | 14 |
| 3 | Estoril U23 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 4 | Rio Ave U23 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Felgueiras U23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 11 |
| 6 | SC Farense U23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 7 | Braga U23 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Vizela U23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 9 | Benfica U23 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 10 | Santa Clara U23 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 11 | Gil Vicente U23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense U23 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10:9 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao U23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | 8 |
| 14 | Leiria U23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 15 | Leixoes U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 6 |
| 16 | Torreense U23 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 17 | Penafiel U23 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9:11 | 5 |
| 18 | Estrela da Amadora U23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | 5 |
| 19 | Portimonense U23 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 20 | Maritimo U23 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)
