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Estrela da Amadora U23 vs Leixoes U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Roka
(Penalty)
55' Event
Moshood M.
63' Event
Assuncao J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Next Gen U23 game between Estrela da Amadora U23 and Leixoes U23 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leixoes U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Estrela da Amadora U23
35%
Draws
24%
Leixoes U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Estrela da Amadora U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estrela da Amadora U23 come out ahead of Leixoes U23 on wins alone.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Estrela da Amadora U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Leixoes U23 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela da Amadora U23 Leixoes U23
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Estrela da Amadora U23 vs Leixoes U23
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrela da Amadora U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Leixoes U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moshood M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Assuncao J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela da Amadora U23 41 / 100
Leixoes U23 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela da Amadora U23 Leixoes U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrela da Amadora U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela da Amadora U23's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Leixoes U23 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Estrela da Amadora U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Estrela da Amadora U23 VS Leixoes U23
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela da Amadora U23

(Home)
06 Oct
FC Felgueiras U23
3 : 1
Estrela da Amadora U23
19 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 2
Moreirense U23
08 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 0
Leiria U23
01 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
1 : 2
Sporting CP U23
25 Aug
Maritimo U23
0 : 0
Estrela da Amadora U23
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Leixoes U23

(Away)
28 Sept
Leixoes U23
2 : 2
Vizela U23
19 Sept
Leixoes U23
1 : 2
Famalicao U23
15 Sept
SC Farense U23
1 : 1
Leixoes U23
05 Sept
Leixoes U23
3 : 4
Sporting CP U23
01 Sept
Penafiel U23
1 : 1
Leixoes U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U23 7 4 3 0 15:9 15
2 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
3 Estoril U23 7 3 4 0 16:12 13
4 Rio Ave U23 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
5 FC Felgueiras U23 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
6 SC Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
7 Braga U23 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
8 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
10 Santa Clara U23 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
12 Moreirense U23 7 1 5 1 10:9 8
13 Famalicao U23 7 2 2 3 13:15 8
14 Leiria U23 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
15 Leixoes U23 7 1 3 3 12:12 6
16 Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 9:12 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 9:11 5
18 Estrela da Amadora U23 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4:9 4
20 Maritimo U23 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)