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Estrela da Amadora U23 vs Sporting CP U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Moco A.
45' Event
Simao P.
81' Event
Coxi D.

AI Match Summary

Sporting CP U23 in this Liga Next Gen U23 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting CP U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Estrela da Amadora U23
35%
Draws
40%
Sporting CP U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sporting CP U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sporting CP U23 lately — more wins on the board than Estrela da Amadora U23.
  • Sporting CP U23 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Estrela da Amadora U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Sporting CP U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela da Amadora U23 Sporting CP U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Estrela da Amadora U23 vs Sporting CP U23
1:2
Oct 30, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Sporting CP U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23
1:1
Aug 10, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Estrela da Amadora U23 vs Sporting CP U23
1:3
Apr 30, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Sporting CP U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23
2:1
Feb 25, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Estrela da Amadora U23 vs Sporting CP U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrela da Amadora U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moco A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sporting CP U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Simao P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coxi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela da Amadora U23 27 / 100
Sporting CP U23 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela da Amadora U23 Sporting CP U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting CP U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting CP U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Estrela da Amadora U23 found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Estrela da Amadora U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estrela da Amadora U23 VS Sporting CP U23
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela da Amadora U23

(Home)
06 Oct
FC Felgueiras U23
3 : 1
Estrela da Amadora U23
19 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 2
Moreirense U23
08 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 0
Leiria U23
01 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
1 : 2
Sporting CP U23
25 Aug
Maritimo U23
0 : 0
Estrela da Amadora U23
Page 1 of 6

Sporting CP U23

(Away)
09 Oct
Estoril U23
1 : 0
Sporting CP U23
19 Sept
Sporting CP U23
1 : 1
Penafiel U23
15 Sept
Sporting CP U23
2 : 2
Academico Viseu U23
05 Sept
Leixoes U23
3 : 4
Sporting CP U23
01 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
1 : 2
Sporting CP U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U23 7 4 3 0 15:9 15
2 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
3 Estoril U23 7 3 4 0 16:12 13
4 Rio Ave U23 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
5 FC Felgueiras U23 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
6 SC Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
7 Braga U23 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
8 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
10 Santa Clara U23 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
12 Moreirense U23 7 1 5 1 10:9 8
13 Famalicao U23 7 2 2 3 13:15 8
14 Leiria U23 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
15 Leixoes U23 7 1 3 3 12:12 6
16 Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 9:12 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 9:11 5
18 Estrela da Amadora U23 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4:9 4
20 Maritimo U23 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)