Sport Picks
Estrela da Amadora vs CU Micaelense
Portugal
Taça de Portugal 2005/2006 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Estrela da Amadora advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estrela da Amadora
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Estrela da Amadora come out ahead of CU Micaelense on wins alone.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Estrela da Amadora taking it.
- Estrela da Amadora have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Estrela da Amadora, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Estrela da Amadora Clean Sheet 20%
CU Micaelense Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Estrela da Amadora | CU Micaelense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 13 |
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 9 | 1 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 0.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 2.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 26, 2005 Taça de Portugal
Estrela da Amadora vs CU Micaelense
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Estrela da Amadora 85 / 100
CU Micaelense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Estrela da Amadora CU Micaelense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Estrela da Amadora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Estrela da Amadora found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
CU Micaelense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 13 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Estrela da Amadora stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Estrela da Amadora VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Estrela da Amadora
(Home) 20 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2 Academico Viseu
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
10 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 1 Braga
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2 Famalicao
30 Aug
Nacional
2 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2 Academico Viseu
10 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 1 Braga
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2 Famalicao
08 Aug
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2 Sporting CP
01 Aug
Estrela da Amadora
4 : 2 Al Nassr
Page 1 of 4
CU Micaelense
(Away) 24 Sept
Moncarapachense
6 : 2 CU Micaelense
10 Sept
CU Micaelense
1 : 0 GD Alcochetense
28 Aug
CU Micaelense
0 : 3 Camara de Lobos
05 Sept
Pinhalnovense
5 : 0 CU Micaelense
30 Aug
Fiaes
2 : 1 CU Micaelense
Page 1 of 3
24 Sept
Moncarapachense
6 : 2 CU Micaelense
05 Sept
Pinhalnovense
5 : 0 CU Micaelense
30 Aug
Fiaes
2 : 1 CU Micaelense
04 Sept
SC Vila Real
2 : 0 CU Micaelense
26 Oct
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 0 CU Micaelense
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
FC Porto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Odivelas FC -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Marco -
AD Pontassolense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Naval -
Vila Mea 2
Mondinense 0
Oliv. Bairro 0
SC Mirandela 1
AD Lousada 1
GD Joane 0
Pedras Rubras 1
Covilha 2
AD Portomosense 2
Silves FC 0
Riachense 1
FC Barreirense 2
Tirsense 4
Electrico FC 2
TBD -
Maritimo -
Academica -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Atletico CP 2
Gondomar 0
Operario 1
Louletano 5
Braga -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiria -
BSAD -
TBD -
SC Praiense 0
Aves 2
Paredes 2
CD Portosantense 1
Moreirense 0
Nelas 1
UD Ovarense 2
Tondela 1
Futebol Clube da Maia 2
Lagoa 4
Vizela 3
Messinense 1
SC Vianense 1
Santa Clara 2
Varzim 3
FC Canedo 1
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Camacha 4
Real SC 3
GD Milheiroense 1
Estoril 4
Aljustrelense 2
Sanjoanense 1
GD Ponterrolense 1
Olhanense 2
Uniao Lamas 1
Beira Mar 0
Esmoriz 1
Oliveirense 2
Nacional -
TBD -
Freamunde 0
Imortal 1
CF Canical 2
Beneditense 0
SC Lusitania 1
Fatima 2
GD Tourizense 1
Dragoes Sandinenses 0
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Leixoes 2
SC Angrense 1
TBD -
Benfica -
Boavista 3
Oeiras 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maria de Fonte 0
Abrantes 3
FC Souropires 2
Aliados Lordelo 1
SB Castelo Branco 1
Portimonense 2
CU Micaelense 1
FC Madalena 0
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
FC Lixa 3
Trofense 1
TBD -
Penafiel -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
GD Uniao Torcatense 1
Ribeirao 2
Pinhalnovense 2
Chaves 1
Monsanto 1
Feirense 3
AD Fafe 3
Social Lamas 0
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
1/32-finals
FC Porto -
TBD -
Odivelas FC 4
FC Marco 6
AD Pontassolense -
TBD -
TBD -
Naval -
Vila Mea 2
SC Mirandela 1
AD Lousada 0
Covilha 2
AD Portomosense 2
FC Barreirense 1
Tirsense 0
Maritimo 2
Academica 3
Gil Vicente 2
Atletico CP 0
Louletano 1
Braga 1
Leiria 0
BSAD 0
Aves 1
Paredes 4
Nelas 0
UD Ovarense 0
Lagoa 1
Vizela 3
Santa Clara 1
Varzim 0
Sporting CP 2
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
Camacha 0
Estoril 1
Aljustrelense 3
Olhanense 0
Uniao Lamas 0
Oliveirense 2
Nacional 2
Imortal 1
CF Canical 0
Fatima 1
GD Tourizense 1
Pacos Ferreira 0
Leixoes 1
Benfica 2
Boavista -
TBD -
TBD -
Abrantes -
FC Souropires 1
Portimonense 0
CU Micaelense 0
Estrela da Amadora 2
FC Lixa 4
Penafiel 0
Rio Ave 0
Ribeirao 1
Pinhalnovense 2
Feirense 1
AD Fafe 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
1/16-finals
FC Porto 1
FC Marco 0
AD Pontassolense 0
Naval 1
Vila Mea 2
Covilha 1
AD Portomosense 0
Maritimo 2
Academica 1
Louletano 0
Braga 1
Aves 2
Paredes 3
Lagoa 1
Vizela 1
Sporting CP 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 4
Estoril 0
Aljustrelense 0
Oliveirense 1
Nacional 2
Fatima 0
GD Tourizense 0
Benfica 2
Boavista 3
Abrantes 2
FC Souropires 1
Estrela da Amadora 3
FC Lixa 1
Ribeirao 0
Pinhalnovense 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
1/8-finals
FC Porto 2
Naval 1
Vila Mea 0
Maritimo 3
Academica 2
Aves 1
Paredes 1
Sporting CP 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Oliveirense 0
Nacional 0
Benfica 1
Boavista 1
Estrela da Amadora 0
FC Lixa 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 2
Maritimo 1
Academica 0
Sporting CP 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Benfica 0
Boavista 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Semi-finals
FC Porto 1
Sporting CP 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Final
FC Porto 1
Vitoria Setubal 0
