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Estrela De Marco U20 vs Alagoinhas U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Baiano U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano U20 game between Estrela De Marco U20 and Alagoinhas U20 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estrela De Marco U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Estrela De Marco U20
20%
Draws
36%
Alagoinhas U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estrela De Marco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estrela De Marco U20 come out ahead of Alagoinhas U20 on wins alone.
  • Estrela De Marco U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Baiano U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Estrela De Marco U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Alagoinhas U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela De Marco U20 Alagoinhas U20
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 16 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.12 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.15 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Baiano U20
Estrela De Marco U20 vs Alagoinhas U20
3:0
Mar 28, 2026 Baiano U20
Alagoinhas U20 vs Estrela De Marco U20
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela De Marco U20 95 / 100
Alagoinhas U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela De Marco U20 Alagoinhas U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrela De Marco U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Estrela De Marco U20 scored in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Alagoinhas U20 let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Estrela De Marco U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Estrela De Marco U20 VS Alagoinhas U20
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela De Marco U20

(Home)
09 Sept
Botafogo RJ U20
4 : 0
Estrela De Marco U20
13 Jun
Fluminense de Feira U20
2 : 0
Estrela De Marco U20
06 Jun
Estrela De Marco U20
1 : 0
Fluminense de Feira U20
03 Jun
Vitoria U20
3 : 0
Estrela De Marco U20
30 May
Estrela De Marco U20
2 : 1
Bahia de Feira U20
Page 1 of 7

Alagoinhas U20

(Away)
08 Sept
Bahia U20
16 : 0
Alagoinhas U20
13 Jun
Camacariense U20
2 : 2
Alagoinhas U20
06 Jun
Alagoinhas U20
0 : 1
Camacariense U20
03 Jun
Fluminense de Feira U20
1 : 3
Alagoinhas U20
30 May
Alagoinhas U20
0 : 0
Jacuipense U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia U20 14 12 1 1 62:8 37
2 Galicia U20 14 9 1 4 24:14 28
3 Camacariense U20 14 9 0 5 37:21 27
4 SSA U20 14 6 2 6 29:15 20
5 Jacobina U20 14 6 2 6 18:18 20
6 Juazeirense U20 14 5 3 6 16:25 18
7 Feirense U20 14 3 0 11 11:35 9
8 Camacari U20 14 1 1 12 6:67 4
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria U20 14 12 1 1 49:14 37
2 Fluminense de Feira U20 14 8 3 3 30:18 27
3 Jacuipense U20 14 7 3 4 24:15 24
4 Estrela De Marco U20 14 6 4 4 18:16 22
5 Alagoinhas U20 14 6 3 5 26:23 21
6 Bahia de Feira U20 14 4 1 9 16:25 13
7 Redencao U20 14 3 1 10 17:36 10
8 Leonico U20 14 1 2 11 9:42 5
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto-BA U20 14 10 3 1 31:17 33
2 Conquista FC U20 14 9 4 1 23:7 31
3 Vitoria da Conquista U20 14 6 4 4 25:11 22
4 Barcelona FC U20 14 5 3 6 16:16 18
5 Grapiuna U20 14 5 2 7 18:16 17
6 Serrano U20 14 5 1 8 20:30 16
7 Jequie U20 14 4 3 7 18:22 15
8 Catuense U20 14 2 0 12 16:48 6
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams