Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estrela De Marco U20 vs Vitoria U20

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Baiano U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Estrela De Marco U20
15%
Draws
46%
Vitoria U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Estrela De Marco U20 haven't matched Vitoria U20's recent run of results.
  • Vitoria U20 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Estrela De Marco U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Vitoria U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela De Marco U20 Vitoria U20
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 1.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Baiano U20
Vitoria U20 vs Estrela De Marco U20
3:0
Mar 6, 2026 Baiano U20
Estrela De Marco U20 vs Vitoria U20
1:1
Jun 19, 2025 Baiano U20
Estrela De Marco U20 vs Vitoria U20
2:0
Apr 5, 2025 Baiano U20
Vitoria U20 vs Estrela De Marco U20
1:1
Jun 9, 2024 Baiano U20
Estrela De Marco U20 vs Vitoria U20
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela De Marco U20 10 / 100
Vitoria U20 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela De Marco U20 Vitoria U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela De Marco U20's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Vitoria U20 has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Estrela De Marco U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estrela De Marco U20 VS Vitoria U20
0.67 Goals Scored 2.13
1.83 Goals Conceded 1
83% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela De Marco U20

(Home)
09 Sept
Botafogo RJ U20
4 : 0
Estrela De Marco U20
13 Jun
Fluminense de Feira U20
2 : 0
Estrela De Marco U20
06 Jun
Estrela De Marco U20
1 : 0
Fluminense de Feira U20
03 Jun
Vitoria U20
3 : 0
Estrela De Marco U20
30 May
Estrela De Marco U20
2 : 1
Bahia de Feira U20
Page 1 of 6

Vitoria U20

(Away)
18 Jul
Vitoria U20
3 : 3
Fluminense de Feira U20
11 Jul
Fluminense de Feira U20
1 : 0
Vitoria U20
04 Jul
Vitoria U20
1 : 0
Barcelona FC U20
01 Jul
Athletico-PR U20
2 : 0
Vitoria U20
28 Jun
Barcelona FC U20
0 : 5
Vitoria U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia U20 14 12 1 1 62:8 37
2 Galicia U20 14 9 1 4 24:14 28
3 Camacariense U20 14 9 0 5 37:21 27
4 SSA U20 14 6 2 6 29:15 20
5 Jacobina U20 14 6 2 6 18:18 20
6 Juazeirense U20 14 5 3 6 16:25 18
7 Feirense U20 14 3 0 11 11:35 9
8 Camacari U20 14 1 1 12 6:67 4
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria U20 14 12 1 1 49:14 37
2 Fluminense de Feira U20 14 8 3 3 30:18 27
3 Jacuipense U20 14 7 3 4 24:15 24
4 Estrela De Marco U20 14 6 4 4 18:16 22
5 Alagoinhas U20 14 6 3 5 26:23 21
6 Bahia de Feira U20 14 4 1 9 16:25 13
7 Redencao U20 14 3 1 10 17:36 10
8 Leonico U20 14 1 2 11 9:42 5
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto-BA U20 14 10 3 1 31:17 33
2 Conquista FC U20 14 9 4 1 23:7 31
3 Vitoria da Conquista U20 14 6 4 4 25:11 22
4 Barcelona FC U20 14 5 3 6 16:16 18
5 Grapiuna U20 14 5 2 7 18:16 17
6 Serrano U20 14 5 1 8 20:30 16
7 Jequie U20 14 4 3 7 18:22 15
8 Catuense U20 14 2 0 12 16:48 6
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams