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Estrela do Norte vs CTE Colatina

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2006 game between Estrela do Norte and CTE Colatina finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CTE Colatina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Estrela do Norte
15%
Draws
0%
CTE Colatina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estrela do Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Estrela do Norte carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Estrela do Norte's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2006 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Estrela do Norte Clean Sheet 20%
CTE Colatina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela do Norte CTE Colatina
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 21 3
Draws 6 2
Losses 9 28
Goals Scored 1.75 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.69 3.52
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 0.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2022 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs CTE Colatina
3:0
Jan 29, 2007 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs CTE Colatina
1:1
Feb 23, 2006 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs CTE Colatina
1:2
May 4, 2005 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs CTE Colatina
1:1
Feb 26, 2005 Capixaba
CTE Colatina vs Estrela do Norte
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela do Norte 85 / 100
CTE Colatina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela do Norte CTE Colatina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrela do Norte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CTE Colatina conceded in 100% of 33 recent games.

Estrela do Norte went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

CTE Colatina lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Estrela do Norte's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Estrela do Norte VS CTE Colatina
2.5 Goals Scored 0.13
0.25 Goals Conceded 3.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela do Norte

(Home)
19 Sept
Estrela do Norte
2 : 1
Linhares Futebol Clube
12 Sept
Estrela do Norte
3 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
06 Sept
Audax Sao Mateus
1 : 2
Estrela do Norte
29 Aug
Sport-ES
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Aug
Estrela do Norte
4 : 0
Tupy
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CTE Colatina

(Away)
29 Aug
CTE Colatina
0 : 9
Linhares Futebol Clube
18 Aug
CTE Colatina
0 : 5
Audax Sao Mateus
14 Aug
GEL
6 : 0
CTE Colatina
08 Aug
CTE Colatina
0 : 1
Doze Futebol Clube
05 Aug
Linhares Futebol Clube
2 : 0
CTE Colatina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria ES 5 4 0 1 16:7 12
2 Rio Branco ES 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
3 Estrela do Norte 5 2 2 1 11:4 8
4 Vilavelhense 5 2 1 2 6:7 7
5 Cachoeiro 5 2 0 3 10:16 6
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2006 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jaguare 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
2 Linhares Futebol Clube 5 2 2 1 11:10 8
3 CTE Colatina 5 2 0 3 6:9 6
4 Serra 5 1 0 4 9:11 3
5 SAO Mateus 5 0 1 4 5:17 1
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2006 (Second stage - Play Offs)