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Estrela do Norte vs Pinheiros

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2 Estadio Mario Monteiro (Sumare), Cachoeiro de Itapemirim
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AI Match Summary

The Capixaba 2 game between Estrela do Norte and Pinheiros finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estrela do Norte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Estrela do Norte
15%
Draws
0%
Pinheiros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estrela do Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Estrela do Norte carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Estrela do Norte are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Estrela do Norte Clean Sheet 68%
Pinheiros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela do Norte Pinheiros
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.55 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.69 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Capixaba 2
Pinheiros vs Estrela do Norte
0:5
Jul 22, 2026 Capixaba 2
Estrela do Norte vs Pinheiros
5:0
Sep 15, 2025 Capixaba 2
Estrela do Norte vs Pinheiros
0:1
Mar 13, 2021 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs Pinheiros
1:1
Feb 12, 2007 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs Pinheiros
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela do Norte 95 / 100
Pinheiros 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela do Norte Pinheiros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrela do Norte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pinheiros conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Estrela do Norte remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Pinheiros registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Estrela do Norte's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Estrela do Norte VS Pinheiros
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 3.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela do Norte

(Home)
12 Sept
Estrela do Norte
3 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
06 Sept
Audax Sao Mateus
1 : 2
Estrela do Norte
29 Aug
Sport-ES
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Aug
Estrela do Norte
4 : 0
Tupy
19 Aug
Pinheiros
0 : 5
Estrela do Norte
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Pinheiros

(Away)
29 Aug
Pinheiros
1 : 4
Rive
19 Aug
Pinheiros
0 : 5
Estrela do Norte
16 Aug
Sport-ES
4 : 1
Pinheiros
08 Aug
Pinheiros
1 : 4
Tupy
01 Aug
Rive
3 : 2
Pinheiros
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linhares Futebol Clube 8 6 0 2 22:2 18
2 Audax Sao Mateus 8 5 1 2 15:5 16
3 GEL 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
4 Doze Futebol Clube 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
5 CTE Colatina 8 0 1 7 1:29 1
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estrela do Norte 8 7 1 0 21:1 22
2 Rive 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Tupy 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Sport-ES 8 3 0 5 10:9 9
5 Pinheiros 8 0 0 8 5:27 0
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)