Sport Picks

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Estrela do Norte vs Sport-ES

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2016 game between Estrela do Norte and Sport-ES finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estrela do Norte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Estrela do Norte
15%
Draws
14%
Sport-ES
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estrela do Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Estrela do Norte carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Estrela do Norte are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Estrela do Norte here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Estrela do Norte Clean Sheet 20%
Sport-ES Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela do Norte Sport-ES
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 19 10
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.73 1.16
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Capixaba 2
Sport-ES vs Estrela do Norte
0:1
Aug 2, 2026 Capixaba 2
Estrela do Norte vs Sport-ES
2:0
Aug 25, 2025 Capixaba 2
Estrela do Norte vs Sport-ES
4:0
Apr 5, 2016 Capixaba
Sport-ES vs Estrela do Norte
3:2
Mar 26, 2016 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs Sport-ES
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela do Norte 85 / 100
Sport-ES 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela do Norte Sport-ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrela do Norte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport-ES has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Estrela do Norte went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Estrela do Norte scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Estrela do Norte VS Sport-ES
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela do Norte

(Home)
19 Sept
Estrela do Norte
2 : 1
Linhares Futebol Clube
12 Sept
Estrela do Norte
3 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
06 Sept
Audax Sao Mateus
1 : 2
Estrela do Norte
29 Aug
Sport-ES
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Aug
Estrela do Norte
4 : 0
Tupy
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Sport-ES

(Away)
29 Aug
Sport-ES
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Aug
Rive
2 : 0
Sport-ES
19 Aug
Tupy
1 : 0
Sport-ES
16 Aug
Sport-ES
4 : 1
Pinheiros
02 Aug
Estrela do Norte
2 : 0
Sport-ES
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