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Estrela dos Amadores vs Academica Boavista

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2009
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2009 game between Estrela dos Amadores and Academica Boavista finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estrela dos Amadores.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Estrela dos Amadores
30%
Draws
41%
Academica Boavista
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Academica Boavista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Academica Boavista carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Estrela dos Amadores's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Estrela dos Amadores Clean Sheet 20%
Academica Boavista Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela dos Amadores Academica Boavista
Matches Played 10 26
Wins 3 4
Draws 2 7
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.5 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2009 Campeonato Nacional
Estrela dos Amadores vs Academica Boavista
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela dos Amadores 49 / 100
Academica Boavista 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela dos Amadores Academica Boavista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrela dos Amadores Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Estrela dos Amadores found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (10 games).

Academica Boavista let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Solid form: Estrela dos Amadores remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Estrela dos Amadores VS Academica Boavista
3.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela dos Amadores

(Home)
03 Jun
Sporting Praia
2 : 2
Estrela dos Amadores
27 May
Estrela dos Amadores
5 : 0
Associacao Academica da Brava
19 May
FC Juventude Sal
3 : 1
Estrela dos Amadores
12 May
Academica do Fogo
0 : 0
Estrela dos Amadores
05 May
Estrela dos Amadores
0 : 2
Batuque FC
Page 1 of 2

Academica Boavista

(Away)
19 Jun
Morabeza
3 : 0
Academica Boavista
11 Jun
Academica Boavista
1 : 0
Academica Porto Novo
04 Jun
Palmeira
2 : 0
Academica Boavista
28 May
Academica Boavista
1 : 0
Palmeira
21 May
Academica Porto Novo
0 : 0
Academica Boavista
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica Praia 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Mindelense 5 4 0 1 13:4 12
3 Ultramarina 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
4 Onze Unidos 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
5 Santa Maria 5 0 2 3 6:13 2
6 Foguetoes 5 0 1 4 3:15 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2009 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Praia 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 SC do Porto Novo 5 3 0 2 9:6 9
3 Vulcanico 5 2 1 2 3:4 7
4 Morabeza 5 2 1 2 4:8 7
5 Estrela dos Amadores 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
6 Academica Boavista 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2009 (Play Offs)