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Estrela dos Amadores vs Academica Boavista

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estrela dos Amadores play Academica Boavista in the Campeonato Nacional 2009. It looks like a close match. Recently, Estrela dos Amadores averaged 3.5 goals scored and 1 conceded. Academica Boavista averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Estrela dos Amadores won 1, Academica Boavista won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 6, 2009 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.63 for Estrela dos Amadores and 0.94 for Academica Boavista. This points to a Estrela dos Amadores double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Estrela dos Amadores
28%
Draws
22%
Academica Boavista
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Estrela dos Amadores

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Academica Boavista has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Estrela dos Amadores.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Estrela dos Amadores.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato Nacional 2009 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Estrela dos Amadores Clean Sheet 20%
Academica Boavista Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela dos Amadores Academica Boavista
Matches Played 10 26
Wins 3 4
Draws 2 7
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 3.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2009 Campeonato Nacional
Estrela dos Amadores vs Academica Boavista
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela dos Amadores 49 / 100
Academica Boavista 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela dos Amadores Academica Boavista

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela dos Amadores scored in 60% of their last 10 games.

Academica Boavista let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Estrela dos Amadores went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Academica Boavista lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estrela dos Amadores VS Academica Boavista
3.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academica Praia541010:513
2Mindelense540113:412
3Ultramarina521211:67
4Onze Unidos52125:57
5Santa Maria50236:132
6Foguetoes50143:151
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting Praia541011:113
2SC do Porto Novo53029:69
3Vulcanico52123:47
4Morabeza52124:87
5Estrela dos Amadores52037:86
6Academica Boavista50142:91