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Estrela dos Amadores vs SC do Porto Novo

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2009 game between Estrela dos Amadores and SC do Porto Novo finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estrela dos Amadores.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Estrela dos Amadores
33%
Draws
27%
SC do Porto Novo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Estrela dos Amadores

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Estrela dos Amadores have managed 1 goals a game lately — SC do Porto Novo are scoring more at 1.43.
  • Estrela dos Amadores are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Estrela dos Amadores Clean Sheet 15%
SC do Porto Novo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela dos Amadores SC do Porto Novo
Matches Played 10 7
Wins 3 3
Draws 2 1
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 1 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2009 Campeonato Nacional
Estrela dos Amadores vs SC do Porto Novo
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela dos Amadores 39 / 100
SC do Porto Novo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela dos Amadores SC do Porto Novo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Estrela dos Amadores scored in 60% of their last 10 games.

Estrela dos Amadores has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: SC do Porto Novo conceded in 43% of 7 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Estrela dos Amadores VS SC do Porto Novo
1 Goals Scored 1.43
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela dos Amadores

(Home)
03 Jun
Sporting Praia
2 : 2
Estrela dos Amadores
27 May
Estrela dos Amadores
5 : 0
Associacao Academica da Brava
19 May
FC Juventude Sal
3 : 1
Estrela dos Amadores
12 May
Academica do Fogo
0 : 0
Estrela dos Amadores
05 May
Estrela dos Amadores
0 : 2
Batuque FC
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SC do Porto Novo

(Away)
28 Jun
Academica Praia
0 : 0
SC do Porto Novo
20 Jun
SC do Porto Novo
1 : 4
Academica Praia
13 Jun
Morabeza
0 : 3
SC do Porto Novo
06 Jun
Vulcanico
0 : 2
SC do Porto Novo
30 May
SC do Porto Novo
0 : 3
Sporting Praia
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academica Praia541010:513
2Mindelense540113:412
3Ultramarina521211:67
4Onze Unidos52125:57
5Santa Maria50236:132
6Foguetoes50143:151
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2009 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting Praia541011:113
2SC do Porto Novo53029:69
3Vulcanico52123:47
4Morabeza52124:87
5Estrela dos Amadores52037:86
6Academica Boavista50142:91
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2009 (Play Offs)