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Estrella Azul vs Parachique - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Copa Peru 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Martinez Y.

AI Match Summary

Parachique in this Copa Peru 2021 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Estrella Azul
15%
Draws
85%
Parachique
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Parachique

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Parachique have won more games recently than Estrella Azul.
  • Win probability leans Parachique's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Parachique arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Parachique, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Estrella Azul Clean Sheet 10%
Parachique Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrella Azul Parachique
Matches Played 7 7
Wins 0 1
Draws 1 2
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 0.57 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.43 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2021 Copa Peru
Estrella Azul vs Parachique
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrella Azul Compare

Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Parachique Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrella Azul 14 / 100
Parachique 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrella Azul Parachique

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parachique Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parachique let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Parachique's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Estrella Azul scored in 43% of their last 7 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Estrella Azul VS Parachique
0.57 Goals Scored 1.57
2.43 Goals Conceded 2.29
86% Over 1.5 86%
43% Over 2.5 86%
29% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrella Azul

(Home)
17 Nov
Union San Martin
5 : 2
Estrella Azul
14 Nov
Estrella Azul
0 : 4
AD Tarma
10 Nov
Estrella Azul
0 : 2
Credicoop San Cristobal
07 Nov
Estrella Azul
0 : 1
Parachique
03 Nov
Estrella Azul
0 : 2
Los Caimanes
Page 1 of 2

Parachique

(Away)
17 Nov
Parachique
1 : 2
Los Caimanes
14 Nov
Union San Martin
4 : 1
Parachique
10 Nov
Parachique
1 : 2
Deportivo Maristas
07 Nov
Estrella Azul
0 : 1
Parachique
03 Nov
Parachique
3 : 4
AD Tarma
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Tarma 7 4 2 1 16:9 14
2 Credicoop San Cristobal 7 3 4 0 13:6 13
3 Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 7 3 4 0 13:7 13
4 Los Caimanes 7 2 4 1 7:8 10
5 Deportivo Maristas 7 2 3 2 11:11 9
6 Union San Martin 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
7 Parachique 7 1 2 4 11:16 5
8 Estrella Azul 7 0 1 6 4:17 1
Promotion - Copa Peru 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Peru 2021 (Play Offs)