Sport Picks
Estrella de Berisso vs Defensores de Glew
Argentina
Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 
Match Events
19'
19'
RODRÍGUEZ T. E.
42'
42'
Nuccetelli R.
71'
71'
Gallardo E.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 game between Estrella de Berisso and Defensores de Glew finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defensores de Glew.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Defensores de Glew
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Defensores de Glew come out ahead of Estrella de Berisso on wins alone.
- Model gives Defensores de Glew a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Estrella de Berisso Clean Sheet 10%
Defensores de Glew Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Estrella de Berisso | Defensores de Glew |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 23, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Estrella de Berisso vs Defensores de Glew
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Estrella de Berisso vs Defensores de Glew
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Defensores de Glew vs Estrella de Berisso
4:1
Sep 4, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Estrella de Berisso vs Defensores de Glew
1:0
Apr 7, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Defensores de Glew vs Estrella de Berisso
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Estrella de Berisso Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Defensores de Glew Compare
Top Goalscorer RODRÍGUEZ T. E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gallardo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Estrella de Berisso 10 / 100
Defensores de Glew 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Estrella de Berisso Defensores de Glew
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DEF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensores de Glew's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Estrella de Berisso went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Estrella de Berisso scored in 52% of their last 27 outings.
Scoring Trends
Estrella de Berisso VS Defensores de Glew
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Estrella de Berisso
(Home) 11 Jul
Social Atletico Television
4 : 0 Estrella de Berisso
06 Jul
Estrella de Berisso
1 : 2 Juventud de Bernal
27 Jun
Nautico Hacoaj
2 : 2 Estrella de Berisso
23 Jun
Estrella de Berisso
1 : 1 Defensores de Glew
13 Jun
Provincial
0 : 1 Estrella de Berisso
Page 1 of 6
06 Jul
Estrella de Berisso
1 : 2 Juventud de Bernal
23 Jun
Estrella de Berisso
1 : 1 Defensores de Glew
05 Jun
Estrella de Berisso
1 : 0 Atletico Pilar
01 Jun
Estrella de Berisso
0 : 1 Deportivo Metalurgico
26 Sept
Estrella de Berisso
0 : 3 Defensores de Glew
Page 1 of 3
Defensores de Glew
(Away) 10 Jul
Nautico Hacoaj
0 : 0 Defensores de Glew
06 Jul
Defensores de Glew
5 : 0 Atletico Pilar
27 Jun
Defensores de Glew
4 : 2 Provincial
23 Jun
Estrella de Berisso
1 : 1 Defensores de Glew
12 Jun
Defensores de Glew
1 : 2 Deportivo Metalurgico
Page 1 of 6
10 Jul
Nautico Hacoaj
0 : 0 Defensores de Glew
23 Jun
Estrella de Berisso
1 : 1 Defensores de Glew
06 Jun
Social Atletico Television
1 : 0 Defensores de Glew
26 Sept
Estrella de Berisso
0 : 3 Defensores de Glew
16 Sept
Belgrano Zarate
0 : 4 Defensores de Glew
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ezeiza | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Social Atletico Television | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 3 | Defensores de Glew | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23:12 | 17 |
| 4 | Belgrano Zarate | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 7:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Estrella de Berisso | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Atletico Pilar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4:19 | 6 |
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Metalurgico | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:4 | 20 |
| 2 | Barrancas | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Nautico Hacoaj | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Everton La Plata | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 5 | Provincial | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:20 | 9 |
| 6 | Juventud de Bernal | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:17 | 8 |
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 (Play Offs)