Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estrella de Berisso vs Juventud de Bernal

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Promocional Amateur game between Estrella de Berisso and Juventud de Bernal finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juventud de Bernal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Estrella de Berisso
6%
Draws
4%
Juventud de Bernal
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Estrella de Berisso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estrella de Berisso come out ahead of Juventud de Bernal on wins alone.
  • Estrella de Berisso are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Estrella de Berisso have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Estrella de Berisso Clean Sheet 20%
Juventud de Bernal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrella de Berisso Juventud de Bernal
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 4
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 0.5 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Estrella de Berisso vs Juventud de Bernal
1:2
Aug 26, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Juventud de Bernal vs Estrella de Berisso
0:3
Apr 2, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Estrella de Berisso vs Juventud de Bernal
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrella de Berisso 85 / 100
Juventud de Bernal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrella de Berisso Juventud de Bernal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud de Bernal has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Estrella de Berisso has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Juventud de Bernal registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estrella de Berisso VS Juventud de Bernal
0.5 Goals Scored 0.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Social Atletico Television760111:218
2Deportivo Metalurgico751112:416
3Nautico Hacoaj742110:314
4Defensores de Glew732214:711
5Estrella de Berisso72236:108
6Provincial72057:126
7Atletico Pilar71155:124
8Juventud de Bernal71064:193
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barrancas85129:616
2Academia Control Orientado842211:814
3Uribelarrea83325:312
4Ezeiza83327:712
5Belgrano Zarate82424:410
6Buenos Aires City82336:69
7Everton La Plata82245:78
8Alumni Los Hornos82245:78
9Las Mandarinas82246:108