Sport Picks
Estrella de Berisso vs Provincial - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Torneo Promocional Amateur 
AI Match Summary
Estrella de Berisso in this Torneo Promocional Amateur matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estrella de Berisso.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estrella de Berisso
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Estrella de Berisso have won more games recently than Provincial.
- Model gives Estrella de Berisso a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Estrella de Berisso have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Estrella de Berisso Clean Sheet 68%
Provincial Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Estrella de Berisso | Provincial |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 10, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Estrella de Berisso vs Provincial
5:0
Jun 13, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Estrella de Berisso
0:1
Aug 18, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Estrella de Berisso vs Provincial
3:3
Mar 23, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Provincial vs Estrella de Berisso
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Estrella de Berisso 95 / 100
Provincial 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Estrella de Berisso Provincial
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Estrella de Berisso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Provincial's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.
Provincial lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Estrella de Berisso scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Estrella de Berisso VS Provincial
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Estrella de Berisso
(Home) 07 Sept
Estrella de Berisso
1 : 3 Social Atletico Television
01 Sept
Juventud de Bernal
2 : 2 Estrella de Berisso
24 Aug
Estrella de Berisso
2 : 3 Nautico Hacoaj
17 Aug
Defensores de Glew
4 : 0 Estrella de Berisso
10 Aug
Estrella de Berisso
5 : 0 Provincial
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Estrella de Berisso
1 : 3 Social Atletico Television
24 Aug
Estrella de Berisso
2 : 3 Nautico Hacoaj
10 Aug
Estrella de Berisso
5 : 0 Provincial
06 Jul
Estrella de Berisso
1 : 2 Juventud de Bernal
23 Jun
Estrella de Berisso
1 : 1 Defensores de Glew
Page 1 of 3
Provincial
(Away) 05 Sept
Provincial
1 : 2 Juventud de Bernal
29 Aug
Nautico Hacoaj
9 : 1 Provincial
22 Aug
Provincial
0 : 4 Defensores de Glew
16 Aug
Atletico Pilar
1 : 0 Provincial
10 Aug
Estrella de Berisso
5 : 0 Provincial
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Nautico Hacoaj
9 : 1 Provincial
16 Aug
Atletico Pilar
1 : 0 Provincial
10 Aug
Estrella de Berisso
5 : 0 Provincial
25 Jul
Social Atletico Television
3 : 0 Provincial
14 Jul
Juventud de Bernal
0 : 4 Provincial
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Social Atletico Television | 14 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 24:9 | 33 |
| 2 | Defensores de Glew | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 37:8 | 32 |
| 3 | Deportivo Metalurgico | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32:10 | 32 |
| 4 | Nautico Hacoaj | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:11 | 26 |
| 5 | Estrella de Berisso | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | 15 |
| 6 | Atletico Pilar | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 7 | Juventud de Bernal | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10:41 | 8 |
| 8 | Provincial | 14 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 9:41 | 6 |
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barrancas | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 17:9 | 31 |
| 2 | Uribelarrea | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 17:10 | 27 |
| 3 | Ezeiza | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:17 | 26 |
| 4 | Buenos Aires City | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 18:13 | 25 |
| 5 | Belgrano Zarate | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 11:10 | 22 |
| 6 | Alumni Los Hornos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:20 | 18 |
| 7 | Academia Control Orientado | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15:20 | 18 |
| 8 | Las Mandarinas | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11:18 | 15 |
| 9 | Everton La Plata | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7:14 | 14 |
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)
