Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estrella Del Sur vs Leandro N. Alem

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Torres L.
59' Event
Feletto S.
75' Event
Lopez R.

AI Match Summary

Estrella Del Sur in this Primera C matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estrella Del Sur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Estrella Del Sur
35%
Draws
26%
Leandro N. Alem
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Estrella Del Sur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Estrella Del Sur lately — more wins on the board than Leandro N. Alem.
  • Win probability leans Estrella Del Sur's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Estrella Del Sur Clean Sheet 68%
Leandro N. Alem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrella Del Sur Leandro N. Alem
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Primera C
Estrella Del Sur vs Leandro N. Alem
3:0
Mar 1, 2026 Primera C
Leandro N. Alem vs Estrella Del Sur
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrella Del Sur Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Feletto S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Leandro N. Alem Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrella Del Sur 86 / 100
Leandro N. Alem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrella Del Sur Leandro N. Alem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrella Del Sur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leandro N. Alem's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Estrella Del Sur scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Estrella Del Sur remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Estrella Del Sur VS Leandro N. Alem
0.75 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrella Del Sur

(Home)
26 Sept
Estrella Del Sur
2 : 1
Argentino de Rosario
20 Sept
CA Lugano
1 : 1
Estrella Del Sur
12 Sept
Estrella Del Sur
1 : 1
Yupanqui
06 Sept
Berazategui
2 : 0
Estrella Del Sur
30 Aug
Estrella Del Sur
1 : 1
Victoriano Arenas
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Leandro N. Alem

(Away)
28 Sept
Justo Jose de Urquiza
1 : 2
Leandro N. Alem
20 Sept
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 1
Mercedes
12 Sept
Deportivo Muniz
0 : 0
Leandro N. Alem
06 Sept
Deportivo Paraguayo
4 : 1
Leandro N. Alem
30 Aug
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 3
Puerto Nuevo
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berazategui 30 12 12 6 35:21 48
2 CA Lugano 30 11 13 6 33:25 46
3 Sacachispas 30 13 7 10 32:26 46
4 CSR Espanol 30 11 11 8 37:27 44
5 Estrella Del Sur 30 11 11 8 31:29 44
6 Mercedes 30 11 10 9 29:23 43
7 Juventud Unida San Miguel 30 11 9 10 35:29 42
8 Victoriano Arenas 30 9 14 7 23:19 41
9 Puerto Nuevo 30 9 11 10 27:31 38
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 30 9 9 12 25:30 36
11 Deportivo Paraguayo 30 7 10 13 22:38 31
12 Leandro N. Alem 30 8 7 15 29:51 31
13 Justo Jose de Urquiza 30 5 14 11 15:25 29
14 Argentino de Rosario 30 3 15 12 27:39 24
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Lujan 30 17 7 6 44:22 58
2 Canuelas 30 16 9 5 38:21 57
3 Deportivo Espanol 30 11 15 4 24:15 48
4 Central Cordoba (Rosario) 30 12 10 8 31:22 46
5 Leones de Rosario 30 11 12 7 27:24 45
6 General Lamadrid 30 9 13 8 23:26 40
7 Sportivo Barracas 30 11 6 13 32:30 39
8 CSD Central Ballester 30 10 8 12 28:28 38
9 Atlas 30 9 10 11 23:26 37
10 El Porvenir 29 7 15 7 23:27 36
11 Yupanqui 30 8 11 11 33:34 35
12 Claypole 30 8 8 14 24:38 32
13 Fenix 30 7 10 13 22:30 31
14 Deportivo Muniz 29 4 11 14 17:33 23
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)