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Estrella vs Las Palmas C - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Isem O.
85' Event
Perez I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 game between Estrella and Las Palmas C finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Estrella
20%
Draws
40%
Las Palmas C
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Las Palmas C come out ahead of Estrella on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Estrella Clean Sheet 12%
Las Palmas C Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrella Las Palmas C
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs Las Palmas C
1:1
Apr 27, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs Las Palmas C
0:0
Dec 2, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs Estrella
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrella Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Las Palmas C Compare

Top Goalscorer Isem O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrella 30 / 100
Las Palmas C 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrella Las Palmas C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Las Palmas C's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Estrella went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Estrella scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estrella VS Las Palmas C
1.2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.8 Goals Conceded 0.88
80% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 25%
40% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrella

(Home)
04 Oct
UD San Fernando
3 : 0
Estrella
25 Sept
Estrella
1 : 1
Las Palmas C
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2
Estrella
12 Sept
Estrella
3 : 1
Villaverde Norte
11 May
Estrella
2 : 1
Herbania
Page 1 of 6

Las Palmas C

(Away)
03 Oct
Las Palmas C
1 : 2
Lanzarote
25 Sept
Estrella
1 : 1
Las Palmas C
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2
Union Sur Yaiza
12 Sept
UD Playas de Sotavento
0 : 2
Las Palmas C
10 May
Las Palmas C
0 : 1
San Miguel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD San Fernando 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
2 Real Union Tenerife 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
3 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
4 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
5 CD Marino 4 2 1 1 12:6 7
6 Las Palmas C 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
7 San Miguel 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
8 Panaderia 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
9 Los Llanos 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Lanzarote 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
11 Villa Santa Brigida 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
12 Tenerife C 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
13 Estrella 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Anaza 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
15 Union Sur Yaiza 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
16 CD Laguna 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
17 Villaverde Norte 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)