Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estrella vs Telde

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estrella in this Tercera Division - Group 12 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estrella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Estrella
35%
Draws
16%
Telde
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Estrella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Estrella lately — more wins on the board than Telde.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Estrella taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Estrella Clean Sheet 20%
Telde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrella Telde
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.9 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs Telde
4:0
Nov 25, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Telde vs Estrella
0:0
Apr 10, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs Telde
1:1
Nov 21, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Telde vs Estrella
3:1
Apr 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs Telde
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrella 58 / 100
Telde 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrella Telde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Telde has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Estrella found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Estrella went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Telde
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrella

(Home)
11 May
Estrella
2 : 1
Herbania
04 May
San Bartolome
1 : 0
Estrella
26 Apr
Estrella
1 : 1
CD Santa Ursula
17 Apr
CD Buzanada
1 : 1
Estrella
12 Apr
Estrella
2 : 2
CD Marino
Page 1 of 6

Telde

(Away)
08 May
Telde
0 : 3
Villa Santa Brigida
03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1
Telde
26 Apr
Telde
1 : 3
San Miguel
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1
Telde
19 Apr
Atletico Paso
1 : 1
Telde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 38 28 8 2 92:20 92
2 UD San Fernando 38 19 11 8 54:38 68
3 Villa Santa Brigida 38 18 11 9 64:44 65
4 Ibarra 38 19 7 12 61:41 64
5 CD Marino 38 15 11 12 51:45 56
6 Union Sur Yaiza 38 16 7 15 55:44 55
7 Panaderia 38 14 12 12 52:49 54
8 Tenerife B 38 14 11 13 57:42 53
9 SD Tenisca 38 15 7 16 66:70 52
10 Lanzarote 38 12 15 11 53:60 51
11 El Cotillo 38 14 8 16 62:64 50
12 CD Buzanada 38 13 11 14 45:48 50
13 Las Zocas 38 14 6 18 43:56 48
14 CD La Cuadra 38 12 12 14 45:50 48
15 Estrella 38 12 11 15 40:42 47
16 Union Viera 38 13 6 19 57:80 45
17 Vera CD 38 11 11 16 44:60 44
18 CD Santa Ursula 38 10 11 17 54:61 41
19 Arucas 38 10 10 18 41:58 40
20 Telde 38 5 6 27 22:86 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)