Sport Picks
Estrella vs Villa Santa Brigida
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 
Match Events
70'
70'
Gil A.
70'
70'
Gil A.
90'
90'
Van Wesemael J.
AI Match Summary
Estrella in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estrella.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estrella
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Villa Santa Brigida have won more games recently than Estrella.
- 41% — that's where the model lands on Estrella taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Estrella Clean Sheet 68%
Villa Santa Brigida Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Estrella | Villa Santa Brigida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs Villa Santa Brigida
1:0
Oct 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs Estrella
2:1
Jan 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs Estrella
2:0
Sep 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs Villa Santa Brigida
0:0
Apr 6, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs Estrella
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Estrella Compare
Top Goalscorer Van Wesemael J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Villa Santa Brigida Compare
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Estrella 50 / 100
Villa Santa Brigida 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Estrella Villa Santa Brigida
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Estrella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Villa Santa Brigida has conceded goals in 68% of their last 34 outings.
Estrella went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Estrella found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Estrella VS Villa Santa Brigida
1.2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.8 Goals Conceded 1.5
80% Over 1.5 100%
60% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Estrella
(Home) 04 Oct
UD San Fernando
3 : 0 Estrella
25 Sept
Estrella
1 : 1 Las Palmas C
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2 Estrella
12 Sept
Estrella
3 : 1 Villaverde Norte
11 May
Estrella
2 : 1 Herbania
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Estrella
1 : 1 Las Palmas C
12 Sept
Estrella
3 : 1 Villaverde Norte
11 May
Estrella
2 : 1 Herbania
26 Apr
Estrella
1 : 1 CD Santa Ursula
12 Apr
Estrella
2 : 2 CD Marino
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Villa Santa Brigida
(Away) 03 Oct
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Villa Santa Brigida
26 Sept
Villa Santa Brigida
2 : 0 Villaverde Norte
19 Sept
San Miguel
3 : 1 Villa Santa Brigida
12 Sept
Villa Santa Brigida
0 : 0 Anaza
29 Aug
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 5 Tamaraceite
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Villa Santa Brigida
19 Sept
San Miguel
3 : 1 Villa Santa Brigida
08 May
Telde
0 : 3 Villa Santa Brigida
26 Apr
Mensajero
2 : 0 Villa Santa Brigida
11 Apr
San Bartolome
2 : 1 Villa Santa Brigida
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 66:17 | 76 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 58:20 | 73 |
| 3 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 48:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Ibarra | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 49:40 | 59 |
| 5 | Mensajero | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:37 | 56 |
| 6 | Lanzarote | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 56:33 | 55 |
| 7 | Panaderia | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 45:39 | 50 |
| 8 | CD Marino | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43:45 | 47 |
| 9 | Arucas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 38:36 | 45 |
| 10 | San Bartolome | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 43:35 | 45 |
| 11 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 34:42 | 41 |
| 12 | Herbania | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 33:41 | 40 |
| 13 | CD Santa Ursula | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | 40 |
| 14 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | CD Buzanada | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 27:54 | 32 |
| 16 | Estrella | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Los Llanos | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 25:52 | 28 |
| 18 | Union Viera | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28:65 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
